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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Cardiff North
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Although the Conservatives would still reckon North to be their strongest seat in Cardiff, Labour's win here in the Assembly poll in 1999 suggests that they are favourites to hold on at the next General Election. Julie Morgan, Rhodri's wife, did well to oust the 13 year incumbent Gwilym Jones from a constituency which covers Cardiff's swathe of owner occupied, middle class suburbs such as Heath Park, Rhiwbina and Whitchurch, where the HQ of the Tory Party in Wales is situated. This seat is over 70pc middle class in terms of non-manual residents, this figure undoubtedly boosted as in Cardiff Central by civil servants in the various tiers of local government in the principality's capital. Yet this public sector emphasis probably suits New Labour much better than the Conservatives, and Julie Morgan should hold on fairly easily barring unforeseeen disasters.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Julie Morgan, part of five Commons husband and wife pairs, is about to be politically separated from her husband Rhodri as he departs full-time for the Welsh Assembly as First Minister. Selected here on an all women shortlist, she has campaigned for women's issues and welcomed the selection of a black woman candidate in the Welsh Assembly election at Monmouth, a seat the party duly lost. Born 1944 and educated at Howells School, Llandaff (a private school) and at King's College London and Manchester and Cardiff Universities, she was a social worker, eventually with Dr. Barnardos. In 1999 she upped her profile by rebelling on disability benefit cuts.

Internet Links for this constituency
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 32.13% 14.99% 214.28
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 2.68% 2.49% 107.86
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 8.33% 4.43% 188.20
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 3.43% 7.27% 47.21
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 2.60% 2.56% 101.41
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.20% 2.04% 9.57
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.24% 3.94% 6.09
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 23.74% 13.04% 182.05
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 5.58% 12.70% 43.94
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 11.14% 8.14% 136.80
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 4.92% 4.02% 122.28
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 1.31% 3.19% 41.27
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 3.10% 11.31% 27.40
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.60% 3.06% 19.62
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.00% 2.52% 0.00
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 7.16% 9.41% 76.05
5-10K 14.20% 16.63% 85.35
10-15K 15.48% 16.58% 93.36
15-20K 13.54% 13.58% 99.70
20-25K 10.88% 10.39% 104.64
25-30K 8.43% 7.77% 108.48
30-35K 6.45% 5.79% 111.41
35-40K 4.92% 4.33% 113.60
40-45K 3.76% 3.27% 115.19
45-50K 2.89% 2.48% 116.30
50-55K 2.23% 1.90% 117.00
55-60K 1.73% 1.47% 117.40
60-65K 1.35% 1.15% 117.54
65-70K 1.06% 0.91% 117.48
70-75K 0.84% 0.72% 117.26
75-80K 0.67% 0.57% 116.90
80-85K 0.54% 0.46% 116.45
85-90K 0.43% 0.37% 115.91
90-95K 0.35% 0.31% 115.31
95-100K 0.29% 0.25% 114.66
100K + 1.47% 1.34% 109.05

Local Map of the constituency
Cardiff North - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Cardiff North - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (11.55%) Plaid Cymru (0.58%)
Conservative (- 11.41%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.68%)
Liberal Democrat (4.42%) Plaid Cymru (3.24%)
Conservative (-  2.05%) Labour (-  4.55%)
Con - 11.41%
Lab 11.55%
LD - 2.68%
PC 0.58%
Con - 2.05%
Lab - 4.55%
LD 4.42%
PC 3.24%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Julie Morgan
Labour hold
Con Conservative (31.64%) 13,680 31.64%
Lab Labour (45.90%) 19,845 45.90%
LD Liberal Democrat (15.34%) 6,631 15.34%
PC Plaid Cymru (5.71%) 2,471 5.71%
Oth Other (1.42%) 613 1.42%
Maj Majority (14.26%) 6,165 14.26%
Turn Turnout (69.04%) 43,240 69.04%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Julie Morgan
Labour hold
LD John Dixon 6,631 15.34%
UK Don Hulston 613 1.42%
PC Sion Jobbins 2,471 5.71%
L Julie Morgan 19,845 45.90%
C Alastair Watson 13,680 31.64%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Julie Morgan
Labour gain
Con Conservative (33.69%) 16,334 33.69%
Lab Labour (50.45%) 24,460 50.45%
LD Liberal Democrat (10.92%) 5,294 10.92%
PC Plaid Cymru (2.48%) 1,201 2.48%
Ref Referendum (2.47%) 1,199 2.47%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (16.76%) 8,126 16.76%
Turn Turnout (80.24%) 48,488 80.24%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (45.10%) 21,547 45.10%
Lab Labour (38.90%) 18,578 38.90%
LD Liberal Democrat (13.60%) 6,487 13.60%
PC Plaid Cymru (1.90%) 916 1.90%
Oth Other (0.40%) 207 0.40%
Maj Majority (6.20%) 2,969 6.20%
Turn Turnout (83.42%) 47,735 83.42%

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