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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Cardiff South & Penarth
Conservative gain

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
One of Labour's safest holds in the 1999 Welsh assembly elections, there is virtually no Plaid Cymru threat here in a seat where only 4pc of the population aged over three years can speak any Welsh. Alun Michael, after the undignified saga of his alleged attempted imposition by the central Labour Party machine, will contest this seat at Westminster again. This is the linear successor to James Callaghan's Cardiff South East, which he represented as the last Labour Prime Minister before Tony Blair, as long ago as 1976-79.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Alun Michael, elected here as Lord Callaghan's successor in 1987, was enjoying a successful career as Welsh Secretary (1998-99), until asked by Blair to contest the election for Welsh First Minister in 1999 against the unreliable maverick, Rhodri Morgan, and though he won, he did so in a weighted electoral college and was eventually replaced by Morgan anyway in February 2000. Born 1943 and educated at Colwyn Bay Grammar School and at Keele University, where he was not politically involved, lacking charisma, and seen by his son Geraint as "boring", he now approaches his 59th year with a stalled career unlikely to be resumed, a casualty of devolution.

Internet Links for this constituency
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 3.62% 14.99% 24.16
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.71% 2.49% 28.65
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 4.33% 4.43% 97.93
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 3.91% 7.27% 53.71
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 3.71% 2.56% 144.71
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.06% 2.04% 3.15
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 2.35% 3.94% 59.54
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 15.46% 13.04% 118.57
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 18.73% 12.70% 147.44
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 12.16% 8.14% 149.32
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 5.73% 4.02% 142.43
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.68% 3.19% 84.01
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 16.33% 11.31% 144.39
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.85% 3.06% 27.71
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 6.70% 2.52% 266.06
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 2.66% 2.10% 126.83
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.01% 0.06% 8.60
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 11.67% 9.41% 123.93
5-10K 19.78% 16.63% 118.92
10-15K 18.37% 16.58% 110.82
15-20K 13.90% 13.58% 102.33
20-25K 9.84% 10.39% 94.66
25-30K 6.84% 7.77% 88.03
30-35K 4.77% 5.79% 82.37
35-40K 3.36% 4.33% 77.56
40-45K 2.40% 3.27% 73.44
45-50K 1.73% 2.48% 69.89
50-55K 1.27% 1.90% 66.81
55-60K 0.95% 1.47% 64.13
60-65K 0.71% 1.15% 61.77
65-70K 0.54% 0.91% 59.69
70-75K 0.42% 0.72% 57.84
75-80K 0.32% 0.57% 56.19
80-85K 0.25% 0.46% 54.71
85-90K 0.20% 0.37% 53.38
90-95K 0.16% 0.31% 52.18
95-100K 0.13% 0.25% 51.09
100K + 0.62% 1.34% 46.29

Local Map of the constituency
Cardiff South & Penarth - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Cardiff South & Penarth - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Liberal Democrat (1.55%) Plaid Cymru (1.60%)
Conservative (- 12.93%) Labour (-  2.09%)
Conservative (1.16%) Liberal Democrat (3.44%) Plaid Cymru (2.35%)
Labour (- 53.41%)
Con - 12.93%
Lab - 2.09%
LD 1.55%
PC 1.60%
Con 1.16%
Lab - 53.41%
LD 3.44%
PC 2.35%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Alun Michael
Conservative gain
Con Conservative (21.84%) 7,807 21.84%
Lab 0 0.00%
LD Liberal Democrat (12.79%) 4,572 12.79%
PC Plaid Cymru (5.55%) 1,983 5.55%
Oth Other (59.83%) 21,389 59.83%
Maj Majority (9.05%) 3,235 9.05%
Turn Turnout (57.55%) 35,751 57.55%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Alun Michael
Conservative gain
SA Dave Bartlett 427 1.19%
LD Rodneu Berman 4,572 12.79%
UK Justin Callan 501 1.40%
PC Lila Haines 1,983 5.55%
C Maureen Kelly Owen 7,807 21.84%
LC Alun Michael 20,094 56.21%
P Anne Savoury 367 1.03%
Candidates representing 7 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Alun Michael
Labour
Con Conservative (20.67%) 8,766 20.67%
Lab Labour (53.41%) 22,647 53.41%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.35%) 3,964 9.35%
PC Plaid Cymru (3.20%) 1,356 3.20%
Ref Referendum (2.86%) 1,211 2.86%
Oth Other (10.51%) 4,456 10.51%
Maj Majority (32.74%) 13,881 32.74%
Turn Turnout (68.57%) 42,400 68.57%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Labour
Con Conservative (33.60%) 15,958 33.60%
Lab Labour (55.50%) 26,383 55.50%
LD Liberal Democrat (7.80%) 3,707 7.80%
PC Plaid Cymru (1.60%) 776 1.60%
Oth Other (1.40%) 676 1.40%
Maj Majority (21.90%) 10,425 21.90%
Turn Turnout (76.35%) 47,500 76.35%

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