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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Cardiff West
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Rhodri Morgan was returned by Cardiff West with the largest and safest majority of any Labour member to the Welsh assembly which he has led since February 2000, and will pass on the seat to Kevin Brennan at the next General Election. This seat was held for 38 years from 1945 to 1983 by George Thomas, who became the second Labour Speaker (not that he was known for favouring the party which brought him to prominence) and then Lord Tonypandy. From 1983 to 1987 it was aberrantly held by an unuusal Conservative, Stefan Terlezki, who was born in the Ukraine, but that was during the depths of Labour troubles. Although it contains the attractive area around Llandaff Cathedral, more typical is the fearsome council estate of Ely, and this now seems one of Labour's strongest seats, immune from the Nationalism which has even reached the South Wales valleys of late.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
With the departure of the tousled oddball Welsh First Minister, Rhodri Morgan, Kevin Brennan is Labour's unsurprising new shoe-in here, having carried Rhodri Morgan's bags as his adviser for 5 years, been chairman of the local CLP for 2 years, and a Cardiff councillor for 9 years. Yet another Welshman of Irish origins, to join Paul Murphy, Don Touhig, and Paul Flynn, he was born 1959, educated at St Albans (RC) Comprehensive School, Pontypool, Pembroke College Oxford, and at the Universities of Cardiff and Glamorgan. A teacher for 9 years, he is the son of a steel worker and a retired dinner lady, and reflects the now common background of Labour candidates in Wales: teachers who are one or two generations away from pit or steelworks. In the Young Communist League as a youthful dalliance in 1975, he was President of the Oxford Union the term after William Hague in 1982, and campaigned for PR for the Welsh Assembly elections.

Internet Links for this constituency
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 10.57% 14.99% 70.47
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.14% 2.49% 5.58
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 6.94% 4.43% 156.93
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 4.98% 7.27% 68.45
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 5.36% 2.56% 208.95
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 1.07% 2.04% 52.21
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 4.11% 3.94% 104.13
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 6.52% 13.04% 49.97
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 9.23% 12.70% 72.66
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 7.53% 8.14% 92.43
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 9.25% 4.02% 230.00
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 4.76% 3.19% 149.56
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 19.21% 11.31% 169.80
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 1.90% 3.06% 62.03
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 6.67% 2.52% 264.95
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 1.78% 2.10% 84.62
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 11.83% 9.41% 125.68
5-10K 18.95% 16.63% 113.96
10-15K 17.36% 16.58% 104.72
15-20K 13.34% 13.58% 98.21
20-25K 9.74% 10.39% 93.69
25-30K 7.04% 7.77% 90.51
30-35K 5.11% 5.79% 88.23
35-40K 3.75% 4.33% 86.55
40-45K 2.78% 3.27% 85.28
45-50K 2.09% 2.48% 84.29
50-55K 1.59% 1.90% 83.49
55-60K 1.22% 1.47% 82.84
60-65K 0.95% 1.15% 82.28
65-70K 0.74% 0.91% 81.80
70-75K 0.59% 0.72% 81.36
75-80K 0.47% 0.57% 80.97
80-85K 0.37% 0.46% 80.60
85-90K 0.30% 0.37% 80.25
90-95K 0.24% 0.31% 79.92
95-100K 0.20% 0.25% 79.59
100K + 1.04% 1.34% 77.41

Local Map of the constituency
Cardiff West - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Cardiff West - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (7.12%) Plaid Cymru (2.24%)
Conservative (- 11.38%) Liberal Democrat (-  0.06%)
Liberal Democrat (2.24%) Plaid Cymru (4.83%)
Conservative (-  0.18%) Labour (-  5.77%)
Con - 11.38%
Lab 7.12%
LD - 0.06%
PC 2.24%
Con - 0.18%
Lab - 5.77%
LD 2.24%
PC 4.83%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Kevin Brennan
Labour hold
Con Conservative (21.34%) 7,273 21.34%
Lab Labour (54.56%) 18,594 54.56%
LD Liberal Democrat (13.08%) 4,458 13.08%
PC Plaid Cymru (9.67%) 3,296 9.67%
Oth Other (1.36%) 462 1.36%
Maj Majority (33.22%) 11,321 33.22%
Turn Turnout (58.41%) 34,083 58.41%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Kevin Brennan
Labour hold
PC Delme Bowen 3,296 9.67%
L Kevin Brennan 18,594 54.56%
C Andrew Davies 7,273 21.34%
LD Jacqui Gasson 4,458 13.08%
UK Joyce Jenking 462 1.36%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Rhodri Morgan
Labour
Con Conservative (21.52%) 8,669 21.52%
Lab Labour (60.32%) 24,297 60.32%
LD Liberal Democrat (10.84%) 4,366 10.84%
PC Plaid Cymru (4.84%) 1,949 4.84%
Ref Referendum (2.47%) 996 2.47%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (38.80%) 15,628 38.80%
Turn Turnout (69.21%) 40,277 69.21%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Labour
Con Conservative (32.90%) 15,028 32.90%
Lab Labour (53.20%) 24,319 53.20%
LD Liberal Democrat (10.90%) 5,005 10.90%
PC Plaid Cymru (2.60%) 1,178 2.60%
Oth Other (0.40%) 184 0.40%
Maj Majority (20.30%) 9,291 20.30%
Turn Turnout (76.87%) 45,714 76.87%

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