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election2001
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Cotswold
Conservative hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
This constituency includes many of the names renowned in Cotswold tourism, such as Bourton on the Water, Chipping Campden, Stow on the Wold, Lechlade and Northleach, as well as its largest town Cirencester, the home of the Royal Agricultural college, and Fairford with it annual air show. This sounds Conservative enough, and it is, especially as the Liberal Democrats sank by 10pc as Labour rose by the same amount in 1997, a rare example of a kind of reverse tactical voting, which let the Tory Geoffrey Clifton-Brown through the middle with almost as great a majority as calculated in 1992. We say "calculated" because this was a newly named seat, which may have reduced the tactical voting possibilities through confusion about who was likely to be second - or maybe the calculators got it wrong in this case, as they seem to next door at Tewkesbury. In any case, there seems little scope for tactical voting again, as it is once more unclear who will finish runner-up - but not who will come first.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
The short, square-faced countryman Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, a Whip under Hague, is part of a dying breed, as a scion of a political dynasty going back to the 19th century, and producing seven MPs, including a post-war Speaker. He inherited the larger forerunner of this seat from Nick Ridley in 1992. A 900-acre Norfolk farmer, born 1953, one of his party’s 15 Etonians in 1997, he attended Royal Agricultural College, Cirencester, and is linked through his mother to the opulent Vestey meat trading family. More abrasive and partisan than his mild looks suggest, he is a whipper-in for the hunting, shooting and fishing brigade. He is also concerned about world population growth.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 26.66% 14.99% 177.81
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 12.24% 2.13% 575.57
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 7.26% 2.49% 291.94
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 7.82% 4.43% 176.65
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 2.50% 7.27% 34.36
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.43% 2.56% 16.90
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.29% 3.94% 7.28
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 23.05% 13.04% 176.76
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 4.14% 12.70% 32.55
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 10.92% 8.14% 134.14
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.28% 4.02% 7.08
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.46% 3.19% 77.30
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 1.86% 11.31% 16.43
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.04% 3.06% 1.42
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.00% 2.52% 0.00
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.05% 0.06% 85.15
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
£0-5K 7.90% 9.41% 83.96
£5-10K 14.63% 16.63% 87.97
£10-15K 15.63% 16.58% 94.26
£15-20K 13.58% 13.58% 99.96
£20-25K 10.86% 10.39% 104.53
£25-30K 8.40% 7.77% 107.99
£30-35K 6.40% 5.79% 110.50
£35-40K 4.86% 4.33% 112.26
£40-45K 3.70% 3.27% 113.45
£45-50K 2.83% 2.48% 114.19
£50-55K 2.18% 1.90% 114.60
£55-60K 1.69% 1.47% 114.78
£60-65K 1.32% 1.15% 114.77
£65-70K 1.04% 0.91% 114.63
£70-75K 0.82% 0.72% 114.40
£75-80K 0.66% 0.57% 114.10
£80-85K 0.53% 0.46% 113.75
£85-90K 0.42% 0.37% 113.37
£90-95K 0.34% 0.31% 112.97
£95-100K 0.28% 0.25% 112.56
£100K + 1.47% 1.34% 109.70

Local Map of the constituency
Cotswold - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Cotswold - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (11.81%)
Conservative (-  8.04%) Liberal Democrat (- 10.45%)
Conservative (3.95%) Liberal Democrat (1.30%)
Labour (-  0.13%)
Con - 8.04%
Lab 11.81%
LD - 10.45%
Con 3.95%
Lab - 0.13%
LD 1.30%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Geoffrey Clifton-Brown
Conservative hold
Con Conservative (50.31%) 23,133 50.31%
Lab Labour (22.58%) 10,383 22.58%
LD Liberal Democrat (24.25%) 11,150 24.25%
Oth Other (2.86%) 1,315 2.86%
Maj Majority (26.06%) 11,983 26.06%
Turn Turnout (67.47%) 45,981 67.47%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Geoffrey Clifton-Brown
Conservative hold
C Geoffrey Clifton-Brown 23,133 50.31%
LD Angela Lawrence 11,150 24.25%
UK Jill Stopps 1,315 2.86%
L Richard Williams 10,383 22.58%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Geoffrey Clifton-Br
Conservative
Con Conservative (46.36%) 23,698 46.36%
Lab Labour (22.71%) 11,608 22.71%
LD Liberal Democrat (22.95%) 11,733 22.95%
Ref Referendum (6.64%) 3,393 6.64%
Oth Other (1.35%) 689 1.35%
Maj Majority (23.41%) 11,965 23.41%
Turn Turnout (75.92%) 51,121 75.92%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (54.40%) 28,496 54.40%
Lab Labour (10.90%) 5,697 10.90%
LD Liberal Democrat (33.40%) 17,479 33.40%
Oth Other (1.40%) 722 1.40%
Maj Majority (21.00%) 11,017 21.00%
Turn Turnout (82.44%) 52,394 82.44%

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