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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Eastleigh
Liberal Democrat hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
By-elections often cause ripples which distort the results of constituency elections in several subsequent general elections. It was no particular surprise that David Chidgey won Eastleigh in Hampshire for the Liberal Democrats in 1994 following the death of Stephen Milligan: the Lib Dems, like their predecessors, are formidable and successful byelection campaigners, especially in Tory held seats. In 1997, again as might be predicted, Chidgey held on, but with a reduced majority. However, an extra element of interest is added by the presence of Labour as serious contenders, in a seat they have not won since its creation in 1955, but where they have come close several times, most noatbly in 1966 (701 votes). Eastleigh is now a three-way marginal, and, perhaps oddly, this may help the Conservatives to recover from the byelection, from which they were still reeling in 1997, because Labour's vote is so large that it may well actually resist a tactical squeeze.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Stocky and affable, David Chidgey won here at a by-election in 1994 and unexpectedly held on in 1997. A professional engineer, originally with the Admiralty, then for 20 years in a commercial practice, he was born in 1942 and educated at Brune Hill County High School, the Royal Naval College, Portsmouth and Portsmouth Polytechnic. As a transport spokesman he was able to articulate his commuter constituents' angst over rail travel, but intensive ward-heeling is needed for him to win a third time. The Tory fight-back here is led by one of their youngest candidates, Conor Burns, Belfast-born in 1972, and educated at St. Columba's College, St. Albans, and Southampton University. An activist in the Southampton area, he claims to have helped see-off the Lib Dem challenge in Mid Dorset and North Poole in 1997. As a Catholic Ulsterman, his main interest is Northern Ireland, but he also backs the current Conservative orthodoxy of more choice (ie. private provision) in health and education.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 15.43% 14.99% 102.94
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.42% 2.49% 16.76
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 22.91% 4.43% 517.62
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 18.19% 7.27% 250.07
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 1.48% 2.56% 57.63
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.00% 3.94% 0.00
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 16.56% 13.04% 126.98
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 8.56% 12.70% 67.40
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 9.64% 8.14% 118.35
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.04% 4.02% 1.06
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.35% 3.19% 73.71
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 3.59% 11.31% 31.74
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.50% 3.06% 16.37
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.26% 2.52% 10.52
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.07% 0.06% 117.64
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 6.90% 9.41% 73.27
5-10K 14.23% 16.63% 85.56
10-15K 15.97% 16.58% 96.33
15-20K 14.15% 13.58% 104.18
20-25K 11.37% 10.39% 109.38
25-30K 8.75% 7.77% 112.54
30-35K 6.62% 5.79% 114.23
35-40K 4.98% 4.33% 114.90
40-45K 3.75% 3.27% 114.86
45-50K 2.84% 2.48% 114.35
50-55K 2.16% 1.90% 113.53
55-60K 1.66% 1.47% 112.52
60-65K 1.28% 1.15% 111.38
65-70K 1.00% 0.91% 110.17
70-75K 0.78% 0.72% 108.93
75-80K 0.62% 0.57% 107.68
80-85K 0.49% 0.46% 106.45
85-90K 0.39% 0.37% 105.24
90-95K 0.32% 0.31% 104.06
95-100K 0.26% 0.25% 102.91
100K + 1.29% 1.34% 96.32

Local Map of the constituency
Eastleigh - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Eastleigh - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (7.32%) Liberal Democrat (5.35%)
Conservative (- 17.20%)
Conservative (0.57%) Liberal Democrat (5.64%)
Labour (-  4.90%)
Con - 17.20%
Lab 7.32%
LD 5.35%
Con 0.57%
Lab - 4.90%
LD 5.64%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
David Chidgey
Liberal Democrat hold
Con Conservative (34.27%) 16,302 34.27%
Lab Labour (21.92%) 10,426 21.92%
LD Liberal Democrat (40.70%) 19,360 40.70%
Oth Other (3.12%) 1,485 3.12%
Maj Majority (6.43%) 3,058 6.43%
Turn Turnout (63.77%) 47,573 63.77%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
David Chidgey
Liberal Democrat hold
C Conor Burns 16,302 34.27%
UK Stephen Challis 849 1.78%
LD David Chidgey 19,360 40.70%
L Sam Jaffa 10,426 21.92%
G Martha Lyn 636 1.34%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
David Chidgey
Liberal Democrat gain
Con Conservative (33.70%) 18,699 33.70%
Lab Labour (26.82%) 14,883 26.82%
LD Liberal Democrat (35.05%) 19,453 35.05%
Ref Referendum (3.63%) 2,013 3.63%
Oth Other (0.80%) 446 0.80%
Maj Majority (1.36%) 754 1.36%
Turn Turnout (76.91%) 55,494 76.91%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (50.90%) 28,620 50.90%
Lab Labour (19.50%) 10,947 19.50%
LD Liberal Democrat (29.70%) 16,708 29.70%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (21.20%) 11,912 21.20%
Turn Turnout (83.30%) 56,275 83.30%

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