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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Eastwood
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Eastwood, according to the socio-economic indicators, should be the most likely Conservative gain from Labour in Scotland next time, just as it was the most unlikely loss in the 1997 General Election. This slice of Glasgow suburbia is extremely middle class and very affluent by regional standards, and has an utterly solid Tory history, including in its previous guise as East Renfrewshire. Yet Labour's candidate won again in the 1999 Scottish parliament contests, by over 2,000, at a time when the more mixed Ayr was nearly "regained" by the former MP Phil Gallie - and Ayr has subsequently returned the only Conservative first past the post MSP in a by-election. Against the rules of history and sociology, Eastwood no longer looks like a certain or even likely Conservative win at the next General Election.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Jim Murphy, tall, beaky, thin-faced, born 1967, educated at secondary schools in Glasgow and Cape Town, and at Strathclyde University, is a former National Union of Students president. He won here in 1997. Guardian-described as "so on-message that the message occasionally has to be surgically removed from his backside," he is a Blairite fixer who helped pull the Scottish Labour Party to the centre, but redeems himself with Old Labour by his skill as a Commons footballer. His Tory opponent is former Aberdeen South MP Roland Robertson, one of three former Scots Tory MPs hoping to return to the Commons after their defeat in 1997. Born 1947, he trained as a teacher at Jordanhill College, but worked mostly as a Conservative Party organiser until election as an MP in 1992, when he revealed orthodox Thatcherite positions on most questions, though voting for lowering the homosexual age of consent in 1994.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 27.65% 14.99% 184.40
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 3.81% 2.49% 153.35
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 9.19% 4.43% 207.57
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 14.31% 7.27% 196.73
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 3.01% 2.56% 117.52
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 3.04% 2.04% 148.75
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.74% 3.94% 18.81
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 7.42% 13.04% 56.94
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 7.41% 12.70% 58.35
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 4.25% 8.14% 52.18
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 1.27% 4.02% 31.70
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.42% 3.19% 76.00
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 6.55% 11.31% 57.88
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 5.19% 3.06% 169.40
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 3.53% 2.52% 140.22
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.05% 2.10% 2.27
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.16% 0.06% 254.74
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 6.25% 9.41% 66.35
5-10K 11.33% 16.63% 68.11
10-15K 12.83% 16.58% 77.42
15-20K 12.17% 13.58% 89.63
20-25K 10.66% 10.39% 102.55
25-30K 8.94% 7.77% 115.03
30-35K 7.33% 5.79% 126.48
35-40K 5.92% 4.33% 136.61
40-45K 4.75% 3.27% 145.36
45-50K 3.79% 2.48% 152.75
50-55K 3.03% 1.90% 158.86
55-60K 2.42% 1.47% 163.80
60-65K 1.93% 1.15% 167.70
65-70K 1.55% 0.91% 170.68
70-75K 1.24% 0.72% 172.85
75-80K 1.00% 0.57% 174.31
80-85K 0.81% 0.46% 175.15
85-90K 0.66% 0.37% 175.46
90-95K 0.53% 0.31% 175.32
95-100K 0.44% 0.25% 174.79
100K + 2.18% 1.34% 162.14

Local Map of the constituency
Eastwood - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Eastwood - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (15.65%) SNP (0.57%)
Conservative (- 13.04%) Liberal Democrat (-  4.70%)
Labour (7.87%) Liberal Democrat (1.20%)
Conservative (-  4.83%) SNP (-  4.51%)
Con - 13.04%
Lab 15.65%
LD - 4.70%
SNP 0.57%
Con - 4.83%
Lab 7.87%
LD 1.20%
SNP - 4.51%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Jim Murphy
Labour hold
Con Conservative (28.73%) 13,895 28.73%
Lab Labour (47.63%) 23,036 47.63%
LD Liberal Democrat (12.90%) 6,239 12.90%
SNP SNP (8.55%) 4,137 8.55%
Oth Other (2.19%) 1,061 2.19%
Maj Majority (18.90%) 9,141 18.90%
Turn Turnout (70.74%) 48,368 70.74%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Jim Murphy
Labour hold
SNP Stewart Maxwell 4,137 8.55%
L Jim Murphy 23,036 47.63%
SSP Peter Murray 814 1.68%
C Raymond Robertson 13,895 28.73%
LD Allan Steele 6,239 12.90%
I Manar Tayan 247 0.51%
Candidates representing 6 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Jim Murphy
Labour gain
Con Conservative (33.56%) 17,530 33.56%
Lab Labour (39.75%) 20,766 39.75%
LD Liberal Democrat (11.70%) 6,110 11.70%
SNP SNP (13.07%) 6,826 13.07%
Ref Referendum (0.95%) 497 0.95%
Oth Other (0.97%) 506 0.97%
Maj Majority (6.20%) 3,236 6.20%
Turn Turnout (78.32%) 52,235 78.32%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (46.60%) 24,544 46.60%
Lab Labour (24.10%) 12,706 24.10%
LD Liberal Democrat (16.40%) 8,651 16.40%
SNP SNP (12.50%) 6,589 12.50%
Oth Other (0.30%) 146 0.30%
Maj Majority (22.50%) 11,838 22.50%
Turn Turnout (79.94%) 52,636 79.94%

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