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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Harrow West
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Statistically the most unlikely of all Labour gains in the landslide of 1997, the Conservatives' former research chief Danny Finkelstein is bound to regain Pinner and Hatch End and Harrow on the Hill - or is he? It remains possible that Labour will actually do as well as 1997 at the next General Election, although few expect it, or even to increase their already massive overall majority. The Tories one strong card, Europe, does not seem to play particularly well in this borough: in June 1999 Labour did better in Harrow West than in seats like Croydon Central or Wimbledon or any of the three in Havering Borough, this coming on top of the even worse news that Labour candidates actually won more votes than the Conservatives in the seat in the local elections of 1998. Another huge shock could just be on the way.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Gareth Thomas, who was the least-expected Labour victor in 1997, is a local born (1967) and educated (Hatch End High School, then Aberystwyth University) school teacher and councillor, whose loyalty was rewarded by being made PPS to Charles Clarke (Home Office) in 1999. His likely Tory nemesis takes the shape of Danny Finkelstein, who is proof that not all SDPers moved into the Liberal Democrats - or back to Labour, but - like John Horam (ex-Labour, then SDP, now Conservative MP) - moved to the right. He joined the Tories in 1991 after having worked closely with David Owen in, and after the winding-up of, the SDP. Born 1962 and educated at University College School and LSE, he ran the right wing Social Market Foundation 1992-95, and the Conservative Research Department 1995-99 (where he drafted the European election campaign manifesto 'In Europe, not run by Europe'), and as such was a speech writer and adviser to PM John Major 1995-97, acquiring a gong in Major's resignation honours. He would seem a certainty for the Tory front bench after the election.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 33.14% 14.99% 221.06
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 2.40% 2.49% 96.43
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 0.00% 4.43% 0.00
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 0.27% 7.27% 3.74
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 6.12% 2.56% 238.52
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 11.18% 2.04% 547.93
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.88% 3.94% 22.41
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 4.26% 13.04% 32.66
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 0.88% 12.70% 6.92
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 1.61% 8.14% 19.75
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 33.11% 4.02% 823.40
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 0.85% 3.19% 26.61
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 1.13% 11.31% 10.02
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 3.70% 3.06% 120.67
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.02% 2.52% 0.73
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.45% 2.10% 21.34
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 3.95% 9.41% 41.99
5-10K 8.78% 16.63% 52.78
10-15K 11.28% 16.58% 68.03
15-20K 11.51% 13.58% 84.70
20-25K 10.55% 10.39% 101.51
25-30K 9.16% 7.77% 117.82
30-35K 7.72% 5.79% 133.31
35-40K 6.41% 4.33% 147.85
40-45K 5.27% 3.27% 161.38
45-50K 4.32% 2.48% 173.93
50-55K 3.53% 1.90% 185.56
55-60K 2.89% 1.47% 196.31
60-65K 2.37% 1.15% 206.27
65-70K 1.95% 0.91% 215.49
70-75K 1.61% 0.72% 224.04
75-80K 1.33% 0.57% 231.98
80-85K 1.11% 0.46% 239.37
85-90K 0.92% 0.37% 246.25
90-95K 0.77% 0.31% 252.67
95-100K 0.65% 0.25% 258.67
100K + 3.87% 1.34% 288.18

Local Map of the constituency
Harrow West - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Harrow West - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (19.04%)
Conservative (- 16.02%) Liberal Democrat (-  4.72%)
Labour (8.07%)
Conservative (-  2.77%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.63%)
Con - 16.02%
Lab 19.04%
LD - 4.72%
Con - 2.77%
Lab 8.07%
LD - 2.63%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Gareth Thomas
Labour hold
Con Conservative (36.41%) 16,986 36.41%
Lab Labour (49.61%) 23,142 49.61%
LD Liberal Democrat (12.85%) 5,995 12.85%
Oth Other (1.13%) 525 1.13%
Maj Majority (13.20%) 6,156 13.20%
Turn Turnout (63.46%) 46,648 63.46%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Gareth Thomas
Labour hold
C Danny Finkelstein 16,986 36.41%
UK Peter Kefford 525 1.13%
LD Christopher Noyce 5,995 12.85%
L Gareth Thomas 23,142 49.61%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Gareth Thomas
Labour gain
Con Conservative (39.18%) 20,571 39.18%
Lab Labour (41.54%) 21,811 41.54%
LD Liberal Democrat (15.48%) 8,127 15.48%
Ref Referendum (3.80%) 1,997 3.80%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (2.36%) 1,240 2.36%
Turn Turnout (72.92%) 52,506 72.92%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (55.20%) 30,227 55.20%
Lab Labour (22.50%) 12,337 22.50%
LD Liberal Democrat (20.20%) 11,045 20.20%
Oth Other (2.10%) 1,151 2.10%
Maj Majority (32.70%) 17,890 32.70%
Turn Turnout (77.37%) 54,760 77.37%

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