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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Hertfordshire North East
Conservative hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Although a new name, Herts North East is essentially the old North Hertfordshire minus the town of Hitchin, plus some villages formerly in Hertford and Stortford. It is not quite so solidly Conservative as might be guessed, for its major population centre is Letchworth, the nation's first Garden city, founded in 1903 by the visionary Ebenezer Howard. Welwyn Garden City followed seventeen years later, also in Hertfordshire, but that made a grand total of two. Howard's hope that Garden City town planning, with geometrically laid out mixed class housing in self-contained and harmonious communities, like the aeroplane, which first flew in 1903, would be "harbingers for the new age" of the twentieth century. This comparison makes Letchworth seem rather ludicrous, but in fact subsequent planned developments have shown that it could have been very much worse. It remains mixed, and must have contributed substantially, along with the other towns of Baldock and Royston, to a Labour vote of 18,000 in 1997 which pressed Oliver Heald to a lead of scarcely over 3,000. This should be safe for another term after 2001.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Oliver Heald, a Tory Home Affairs spokesman, a Reading School and Cambridge (Pembroke)-educated employment law barrister, born 1954, was elected in 1992, and is a discreet loyalist, who was soon on the career ladder as PPS to William Waldegrave. Citing Willie Whitelaw as his mentor, he nevertheless voted for Michael Howard for leader in 1997 and opposed a single European currency. Hague made him a Whip in 1997. For Labour, Ivan Gibbons fought here in 1997. He was born 1950, educated at Belfast and Westminster universities, and has worked as a community education worker with ILEA and as a lecturer in cultural and community studies.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 26.51% 14.99% 176.80
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.17% 2.13% 7.77
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.46% 2.49% 18.46
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 9.12% 4.43% 206.18
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 14.90% 7.27% 204.87
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 3.98% 2.56% 155.38
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.05
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.15% 3.94% 3.79
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 13.03% 13.04% 99.97
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 5.51% 12.70% 43.41
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 13.13% 8.14% 161.18
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.47% 4.02% 11.58
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.13% 3.19% 66.97
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 9.05% 11.31% 80.05
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.28% 3.06% 9.12
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.60% 2.52% 23.77
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.48% 2.10% 23.03
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.02% 0.06% 28.66
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 6.38% 9.41% 67.75
5-10K 12.24% 16.63% 73.58
10-15K 13.76% 16.58% 82.98
15-20K 12.59% 13.58% 92.72
20-25K 10.60% 10.39% 102.04
25-30K 8.61% 7.77% 110.70
30-35K 6.87% 5.79% 118.65
35-40K 5.45% 4.33% 125.90
40-45K 4.33% 3.27% 132.50
45-50K 3.44% 2.48% 138.50
50-55K 2.74% 1.90% 143.97
55-60K 2.20% 1.47% 148.95
60-65K 1.77% 1.15% 153.50
65-70K 1.43% 0.91% 157.67
70-75K 1.16% 0.72% 161.50
75-80K 0.95% 0.57% 165.03
80-85K 0.78% 0.46% 168.28
85-90K 0.64% 0.37% 171.30
90-95K 0.53% 0.31% 174.10
95-100K 0.44% 0.25% 176.70
100K + 2.55% 1.34% 189.68

Local Map of the constituency
Hertfordshire North East - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Hertfordshire North East - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (14.52%)
Conservative (-  9.94%) Liberal Democrat (-  8.14%)
Conservative (2.36%) Labour (0.58%)
Liberal Democrat (-  1.04%)
Con - 9.94%
Lab 14.52%
LD - 8.14%
Con 2.36%
Lab 0.58%
LD - 1.04%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Oliver Heald
Conservative hold
Con Conservative (44.11%) 19,695 44.11%
Lab Labour (36.40%) 16,251 36.40%
LD Liberal Democrat (17.22%) 7,686 17.22%
Oth Other (2.27%) 1,013 2.27%
Maj Majority (7.71%) 3,444 7.71%
Turn Turnout (64.90%) 44,645 64.90%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Oliver Heald
Conservative hold
L Ivan Gibbons 16,251 36.40%
C Oliver Heald 19,695 44.11%
LD Alison Kingman 7,686 17.22%
UK Michael Virgo 1,013 2.27%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Oliver Heald
Conservative
Con Conservative (41.76%) 21,712 41.76%
Lab Labour (35.82%) 18,624 35.82%
LD Liberal Democrat (18.26%) 9,493 18.26%
Ref Referendum (4.17%) 2,166 4.17%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (5.94%) 3,088 5.94%
Turn Turnout (77.42%) 51,995 77.42%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (51.70%) 28,911 51.70%
Lab Labour (21.30%) 11,908 21.30%
LD Liberal Democrat (26.40%) 14,775 26.40%
Oth Other (0.60%) 355 0.60%
Maj Majority (25.30%) 14,136 25.30%
Turn Turnout (84.93%) 55,949 84.93%

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