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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Islwyn
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Neil Kinnock's former seat shocked Labour in the Welsh Assembly elections in May 1999 by electing a Plaid Cymru member, Brian Hancock, over their own Shane Williams, by 600 votes. The Nationalists had never historically done well in the South Welsh industrial valleys, or among English speakers (97pc here), and in the 1997 General Election Don Touhig had obtained a truly massive 74pc of the vote (to the sixpc for PC in fourth place), making this safe seat no.8 in the whole of Britain. The extraordinarily aberrant result in 1999 must be put down to disenchantment with the way Labour's leaders conducted the Assembly campaign, and the peripheral powers and importance of the body (turnout 47pc) rather than a gigantic sea change in basic party - and philosophical - allegiance.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Don Touhig, a Labour Whip and one of the Blair government's loyal foot-soldiers who was sacked-but-swiftly-reappointed for leaking a social security committee report to his boss Chancellor Gordon Brown, was elected in succession to Neil Kinnock in 1995. A small man of Irish jockey build, he is one of three Welsh-Irish Catholics representing seats for Labour in Monmouthshire, an area where once the culture was uniformly that of Welsh Nonconformity. A miner's son, born 1947 and educated at St. Francis (RC) School, Pontypool, and East Monmouthshire College, he was a print manager and journalist. An instigator of legislation to protect 'whistleblowers' from victimisation, he backed Millbank's big battalions to ensure Alun Michael, not Rhodri Morgan became Wales' First Minister.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 1.01% 14.99% 6.77
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.00% 2.49% 0.00
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 0.92% 4.43% 20.85
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 7.78% 7.27% 106.97
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.00% 2.56% 0.00
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.00% 3.94% 0.00
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 3.51% 13.04% 26.94
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 45.27% 12.70% 356.36
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 24.47% 8.14% 300.45
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.00% 4.02% 0.00
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 3.03% 3.19% 95.04
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 12.66% 11.31% 111.90
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.00% 3.06% 0.00
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 1.35% 2.52% 53.62
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 10.48% 9.41% 111.33
5-10K 19.60% 16.63% 117.82
10-15K 19.22% 16.58% 115.94
15-20K 14.96% 13.58% 110.15
20-25K 10.66% 10.39% 102.61
25-30K 7.35% 7.77% 94.54
30-35K 5.02% 5.79% 86.61
35-40K 3.43% 4.33% 79.17
40-45K 2.36% 3.27% 72.36
45-50K 1.64% 2.48% 66.21
50-55K 1.16% 1.90% 60.71
55-60K 0.82% 1.47% 55.81
60-65K 0.59% 1.15% 51.45
65-70K 0.43% 0.91% 47.57
70-75K 0.32% 0.72% 44.12
75-80K 0.24% 0.57% 41.04
80-85K 0.18% 0.46% 38.28
85-90K 0.13% 0.37% 35.82
90-95K 0.10% 0.31% 33.60
95-100K 0.08% 0.25% 31.61
100K + 0.31% 1.34% 23.18

Local Map of the constituency
Islwyn - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Islwyn - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Liberal Democrat (2.72%) Plaid Cymru (2.34%)
Conservative (-  7.03%) Labour (-  0.15%)
Conservative (0.16%) Liberal Democrat (4.82%) Plaid Cymru (5.65%)
Labour (- 12.61%)
Con - 7.03%
Lab - 0.15%
LD 2.72%
PC 2.34%
Con 0.16%
Lab - 12.61%
LD 4.82%
PC 5.65%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Don Touhig
Labour hold
Con Conservative (8.02%) 2,543 8.02%
Lab Labour (61.55%) 19,505 61.55%
LD Liberal Democrat (13.24%) 4,196 13.24%
PC Plaid Cymru (11.89%) 3,767 11.89%
Oth Other (5.30%) 1,680 5.30%
Maj Majority (48.31%) 15,309 48.31%
Turn Turnout (61.86%) 31,691 61.86%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Don Touhig
Labour hold
LD Kevin Etheridge 4,196 13.24%
C Philip Howells 2,543 8.02%
SL Mary Millington 417 1.32%
I Paul Taylor 1,263 3.99%
PC Leigh Thomas 3,767 11.89%
LC Don Touhig 19,505 61.55%
Candidates representing 6 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Don Touhig
Labour
Con Conservative (7.87%) 2,864 7.87%
Lab Labour (74.15%) 26,995 74.15%
LD Liberal Democrat (8.42%) 3,064 8.42%
PC Plaid Cymru (6.24%) 2,272 6.24%
Ref Referendum (3.32%) 1,209 3.32%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (65.74%) 23,931 65.74%
Turn Turnout (72.03%) 36,404 72.03%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Labour
Con Conservative (14.90%) 6,180 14.90%
Lab Labour (74.30%) 30,908 74.30%
LD Liberal Democrat (5.70%) 2,352 5.70%
PC Plaid Cymru (3.90%) 1,606 3.90%
Oth Other (1.30%) 547 1.30%
Maj Majority (59.50%) 24,728 59.50%
Turn Turnout (80.10%) 41,593 80.10%

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