telegraph.co.uk | sport.telegraph.co.uk | travel.telegraph.co.uk | money.telegraph.co.uk
election2001
Constituency A-Z
Map A-Z
MPs A-Z
Swingometer
Paxman game
Issues
Analysis
Win £1,000,000
Telegraph home
UK News
International news
City news
Opinions
DT letters
Telegraph feedback
Sport
Site index
About us
Contact us
Credits
Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win £1M

Llanelli
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Denzil Davies has had a colourful career, but this westernmost of the great folded valley seats of South Wales, its economy forged by anthracite coal mining and as Britain's greatest tinplate manufacturing centre, has always remained loyal to him. But not to Labour any more, since in 1999 Plaid Cymru's Helen Mary Jones came out on top in the constituency section of the Welsh Assembly elections, beating Labour's Ann Garrard by 688 votes. This may well not be repeated in a General Election against Denzil Davies, MP here for over 30 years, but should prove a drastic shock against any complacency within the local party. Nor is the PC vote so clearly reducible as in seats like Rhondda and Islwyn further east where they delivered other blows with a pointed stick in 1999, for Llanelli is nearly half Welsh speaking - that western factor is important, and at the very least it may be predicted that the Plaid will get more than 19pc next time, and Labour less than 55pc.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Denzil Davies, Labour MP, first elected here in 1970 (and then replacing Jim Griffiths who had himself held the seat for 36 years) is a Euro- and Devo-sceptic Labour veteran out of step with the younger generation of Welsh Labour MPs. Born 1938, and educated at Queen Elizabeth’s Grammar School, Carmarthen and Pembroke College, Oxford, he reverted to practice at the Bar once his frontbench career aborted under Kinnock in 1988. His political incorrectness on Europe and devolution, which he saw as “the unbundling of the British state”, is matched by his wife Ann Carlton’s dismissive view of all-women shortlists. And he votes against homosexual sex at 16.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 5.46% 14.99% 36.45
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.37% 2.13% 17.53
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.66% 2.49% 26.66
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 1.31% 4.43% 29.65
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 1.96% 7.27% 26.89
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.00% 2.56% 0.00
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.00% 3.94% 0.00
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 18.11% 13.04% 138.91
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 26.92% 12.70% 211.89
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 32.66% 8.14% 401.05
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 1.19% 4.02% 29.63
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 5.09% 3.19% 159.89
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 5.66% 11.31% 50.01
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.39% 3.06% 12.61
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.22% 2.52% 8.59
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
£0-5K 12.07% 9.41% 128.22
£5-10K 21.31% 16.63% 128.14
£10-15K 19.77% 16.58% 119.26
£15-20K 14.69% 13.58% 108.17
£20-25K 10.11% 10.39% 97.29
£25-30K 6.80% 7.77% 87.44
£30-35K 4.56% 5.79% 78.78
£35-40K 3.09% 4.33% 71.26
£40-45K 2.11% 3.27% 64.75
£45-50K 1.47% 2.48% 59.12
£50-55K 1.03% 1.90% 54.24
£55-60K 0.74% 1.47% 49.99
£60-65K 0.53% 1.15% 46.26
£65-70K 0.39% 0.91% 42.99
£70-75K 0.29% 0.72% 40.10
£75-80K 0.22% 0.57% 37.54
£80-85K 0.16% 0.46% 35.26
£85-90K 0.12% 0.37% 33.21
£90-95K 0.10% 0.31% 31.37
£95-100K 0.07% 0.25% 29.71
£100K + 0.30% 1.34% 22.52

Local Map of the constituency
Llanelli - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Llanelli - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (3.38%) Plaid Cymru (3.26%)
Conservative (-  4.86%) Liberal Democrat (-  3.61%)
Plaid Cymru (11.94%)
Conservative (-  2.63%) Labour (-  9.29%) Liberal Democrat (-  0.72%)
Con - 4.86%
Lab 3.38%
LD - 3.61%
PC 3.26%
Con - 2.63%
Lab - 9.29%
LD - 0.72%
PC 11.94%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Denzil Davies
Labour hold
Con Conservative (9.51%) 3,442 9.51%
Lab Labour (48.58%) 17,586 48.58%
LD Liberal Democrat (8.47%) 3,065 8.47%
PC Plaid Cymru (30.89%) 11,183 30.89%
Oth Other (2.55%) 922 2.55%
Maj Majority (17.69%) 6,403 17.69%
Turn Turnout (62.25%) 36,198 62.25%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Denzil Davies
Labour hold
G Jan Cliff 515 1.42%
L Denzil Davies 17,586 48.58%
C Simon Hayes 3,442 9.51%
PC Dyfan Jones 11,183 30.89%
LD Ken Rees 3,065 8.47%
SL John Willock 407 1.12%
Candidates representing 6 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Denzil Davies
Labour
Con Conservative (12.14%) 5,003 12.14%
Lab Labour (57.88%) 23,851 57.88%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.19%) 3,788 9.19%
PC Plaid Cymru (18.96%) 7,812 18.96%
Ref 0 0.00%
Oth Other (1.84%) 757 1.84%
Maj Majority (38.92%) 16,039 38.92%
Turn Turnout (70.66%) 41,211 70.66%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Labour
Con Conservative (17.00%) 7,851 17.00%
Lab Labour (54.50%) 25,122 54.50%
LD Liberal Democrat (12.80%) 5,884 12.80%
PC Plaid Cymru (15.70%) 7,253 15.70%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (37.50%) 17,271 37.50%
Turn Turnout (77.20%) 46,110 77.20%

Search for your constituency
Search by postcode
Search by MP
Complete list of MPs
Search by constituency
Complete list of constituencies
Search by map go
Previous Previous
Top Top