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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win £1M

Monmouth
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
The Conservatives' single best chance of putting at least one win on the board outside England at the next General Election is clearly Monmouth, which they won at constituency level in the Welsh Assembly elections in May 1999 and comfortably in the Euro-votes the following month. It would now be a major surprise if Roger Evans did not regain this seat for a second time (having already done so in 1992, after the 1991 by-election loss) from Huw Edwards at the next General Election. Some have consistently argued that Monmouthshire is not actually part of Wales at all. It is 98pc English speaking, and Plaid Cymru polled scarcely one in a hundred votes here in 1997 (though six times that in the 1999 assembly elections). It definitely is in Wales for administrative purposes, but its politics as well as its culture and scenery seem as un-Welsh as those of any constituency technically within the principality.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Huw Edwards, a polytechnic lecturer who welcomed the conversion of the polytechnics into universities (and vice-versa), was first elected here in 1991, lost the seat in 1992 and regained it in 1997. He was born in 1953 into the London Welsh community, educated at Eastfields High School, Mitcham, Manchester Polytechnic and York University. A fan of Frank Field, as a social policy specialist, he operates quietly between the hammer of the Tory countryside and farming lobby and the Labour votes dependent on the Llanwern steelworks whose closure he vigorously denounced in February this year. The conservative barrister, Roger Evans, who has alternated with Edwards here as MP, stands again, the 17th best placed of the Conservative ex-MPs to make a successful come-back. Born 1947 and educated at Bristol Grammar School and Trinity Hall Cambridge, as a junior minister under Major he piloted the Job Seekers Act, curbing access to the dole. An experienced loser of Tory seats (here in 1991 and 1997, and in Anglesey in 1987) he had curbed his Thatcherism sufficiently under Major during the Maastricht debates to win office in Majorís last three years.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 40.19% 14.99% 268.02
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 4.79% 2.13% 225.21
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 2.29% 2.49% 92.23
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 3.22% 4.43% 72.82
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 1.30% 7.27% 17.81
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.26% 2.56% 10.28
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.40% 3.94% 10.23
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 17.01% 13.04% 130.45
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 10.91% 12.70% 85.90
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 9.71% 8.14% 119.22
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 2.09% 4.02% 51.86
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 3.27% 3.19% 102.53
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 2.87% 11.31% 25.39
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.19% 3.06% 6.16
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 1.50% 2.52% 59.66
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 6.01
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
£0-5K 9.14% 9.41% 97.13
£5-10K 16.00% 16.63% 96.18
£10-15K 16.11% 16.58% 97.16
£15-20K 13.35% 13.58% 98.28
£20-25K 10.33% 10.39% 99.35
£25-30K 7.80% 7.77% 100.38
£30-35K 5.87% 5.79% 101.40
£35-40K 4.44% 4.33% 102.40
£40-45K 3.38% 3.27% 103.39
£45-50K 2.59% 2.48% 104.37
£50-55K 2.01% 1.90% 105.34
£55-60K 1.57% 1.47% 106.30
£60-65K 1.23% 1.15% 107.25
£65-70K 0.98% 0.91% 108.20
£70-75K 0.78% 0.72% 109.13
£75-80K 0.63% 0.57% 110.06
£80-85K 0.51% 0.46% 110.99
£85-90K 0.42% 0.37% 111.92
£90-95K 0.34% 0.31% 112.84
£95-100K 0.28% 0.25% 113.76
£100K + 1.62% 1.34% 120.35

Local Map of the constituency
Monmouth - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Monmouth - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (6.74%) Plaid Cymru (1.05%)
Conservative (-  8.08%) Liberal Democrat (-  1.34%)
Conservative (2.70%) Liberal Democrat (1.86%) Plaid Cymru (1.35%)
Labour (-  4.96%)
Con - 8.08%
Lab 6.74%
LD - 1.34%
PC 1.05%
Con 2.70%
Lab - 4.96%
LD 1.86%
PC 1.35%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Huw Edwards
Labour hold
Con Conservative (41.92%) 18,637 41.92%
Lab Labour (42.78%) 19,021 42.78%
LD Liberal Democrat (11.43%) 5,080 11.43%
PC Plaid Cymru (2.40%) 1,068 2.40%
Oth Other (1.48%) 656 1.48%
Maj Majority (0.86%) 384 0.86%
Turn Turnout (71.48%) 44,462 71.48%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Huw Edwards
Labour hold
L Huw Edwards 19,021 42.78%
C Roger Evans 18,637 41.92%
PC Marc Hubbard 1,068 2.40%
LD Neil Parker 5,080 11.43%
UK David Rowlands 656 1.48%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Huw Edwards
Labour gain
Con Conservative (39.22%) 19,226 39.22%
Lab Labour (47.74%) 23,404 47.74%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.56%) 4,689 9.56%
PC Plaid Cymru (1.05%) 516 1.05%
Ref Referendum (2.43%) 1,190 2.43%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (8.52%) 4,178 8.52%
Turn Turnout (80.76%) 49,025 80.76%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (47.30%) 24,059 47.30%
Lab Labour (41.00%) 20,855 41.00%
LD Liberal Democrat (10.90%) 5,562 10.90%
Oth Other (0.80%) 431 0.80%
Maj Majority (6.30%) 3,204 6.30%
Turn Turnout (84.98%) 50,907 84.98%

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