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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Northampton South
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Of the three extremely narrow Labour gains in Northamptonshire in the 1997 General Election, South probably offers the most interesting to an outside observer. The electorate is divided between urban parts of Northampton and rural wards. It has the most fluid and the most rapidly increasing electorate in the county, especially in the Nene Valley development area situated on the southern edge of this large and expanding town. What is more, the Conservative candidate is Shailesh Vara, who attracted national attention in the autumn of 2000 when his beleaguered Labour opponent described him (in a private note, for which he quickly apologised) as the "wrong sort of Asian" for the seat: Vara is of Indian ancestry, whereas most of the small (5pc) non-white minority in the seat is said to consist of Muslims of Pakistani origin. This does not to be as relevant as the attitudes of the 95pc of white voters. One would normally expect the more rural elements of the seat to be Conservative - even more so perhaps given recent circumstances and opinion polls suggesting that the Tories are recovering ground in the countryside - while the Northampton town sections are mixed. It is unclear what the outcome will be in so complex a situation.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Tony Clarke's unexpected victory here in 1997 sent Michael Morris , the Conservative MP of 23 years scuttling off to the Lords with the rather splendid title of Lord Naseby. Clarke, local-born in 1963, a bearded local councillor, educated locally at Lings Upper School, and a social work trainer, made few headlines until wading waist deep in political incorrectness by referring to his Conservative Asian challenger as "exactly the right kind of candidate against us we'd want", as an Asian in a seat where some of the voters "have shown themselves in the past to be quite racist in their voting" and who was in any case the 'wrong sort' of Asian as a Ugandan Hindu in a seat where the ethnic vote is Muslim Bangladeshi or Pakistani. Otherwise statistically highly electable Shailesh Vara, a City-based solicitor, is a statutory Tory Asian, born 1960 in Uganda, educated at Aylesbury Grammar School, Brunel University and Guildford Law College. Given exposure at Party Conferences as a competent noteless orator, to correct the Party's monocultural image, he fought Clare Short in Birmingham in 1997, and is seen as a loyalist 'wet', but sceptical on Europe, opposing monetary union as a prelude to political union.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 20.89% 14.99% 139.32
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.19% 2.13% 8.81
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.24% 2.49% 9.71
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 16.72% 4.43% 377.76
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 8.02% 7.27% 110.31
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 1.35% 2.56% 52.51
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 1.64% 3.94% 41.62
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 12.02% 13.04% 92.18
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 14.82% 12.70% 116.64
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 5.02% 8.14% 61.62
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 4.64% 4.02% 115.40
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.65% 3.19% 83.27
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 8.33% 11.31% 73.64
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 2.74% 3.06% 89.37
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.68% 2.52% 27.00
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.06% 2.10% 2.87
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 7.85% 9.41% 83.43
5-10K 14.70% 16.63% 88.37
10-15K 15.59% 16.58% 94.01
15-20K 13.49% 13.58% 99.28
20-25K 10.78% 10.39% 103.75
25-30K 8.34% 7.77% 107.31
30-35K 6.37% 5.79% 110.06
35-40K 4.86% 4.33% 112.10
40-45K 3.71% 3.27% 113.55
45-50K 2.84% 2.48% 114.53
50-55K 2.19% 1.90% 115.13
55-60K 1.70% 1.47% 115.43
60-65K 1.33% 1.15% 115.51
65-70K 1.05% 0.91% 115.40
70-75K 0.83% 0.72% 115.15
75-80K 0.66% 0.57% 114.79
80-85K 0.53% 0.46% 114.35
85-90K 0.43% 0.37% 113.84
90-95K 0.35% 0.31% 113.29
95-100K 0.28% 0.25% 112.71
100K + 1.46% 1.34% 108.29

Local Map of the constituency
Northampton South - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Northampton South - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (12.20%)
Conservative (- 14.60%) Liberal Democrat (-  3.04%)
Conservative (0.05%) Labour (0.48%) Liberal Democrat (1.39%)
Con - 14.60%
Lab 12.20%
LD - 3.04%
Con 0.05%
Lab 0.48%
LD 1.39%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Tony Clark
Labour hold
Con Conservative (41.15%) 20,997 41.15%
Lab Labour (42.88%) 21,882 42.88%
LD Liberal Democrat (12.45%) 6,355 12.45%
Oth Other (3.52%) 1,795 3.52%
Maj Majority (1.73%) 885 1.73%
Turn Turnout (59.84%) 51,029 59.84%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Tony Clark
Labour hold
L Tony Clark 21,882 42.88%
UK Derek Clark 1,237 2.42%
LP Tina Harvey 362 0.71%
P Clare Johnson 196 0.38%
LD Andrew Simpson 6,355 12.45%
C Shailesh Vara 20,997 41.15%
Candidates representing 6 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Tony Clark
Labour gain
Con Conservative (41.10%) 23,470 41.10%
Lab Labour (42.40%) 24,214 42.40%
LD Liberal Democrat (11.06%) 6,316 11.06%
Ref Referendum (2.46%) 1,405 2.46%
Oth Other (2.98%) 1,700 2.98%
Maj Majority (1.30%) 744 1.30%
Turn Turnout (71.94%) 57,105 71.94%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (55.70%) 32,898 55.70%
Lab Labour (30.20%) 17,854 30.20%
LD Liberal Democrat (14.10%) 8,355 14.10%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (25.50%) 15,044 25.50%
Turn Turnout (80.42%) 59,107 80.42%

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