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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Ogmore
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Ogmore-by-Sea is small resort on the soft Glamorgan coast near Porthcawl. However Ogmore constituency is in fact a mining valley seat, named after Ogmore Vale and Ogmore Forest between Maesteg and Pontypridd. The seat does not any longer reach the Bristol Channel, at Ogmore-by-Sea or anywhere else. It is just a valley seat now, including the Garw as well as the Ogmore valleys. In the Assembly elections of May 1999 Plaid Cymru cut the Labour lead from over 64pc to 21pc, technically a swing of over 22pc, but they were still well behind, and in a seat where over 90pc of the population can speak English but not Welsh, Labour are effectively certain winners.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Sir Ray Powell, Labour's sole knight of the slagheaps, is a Whip fallen from grace under Blair. An old-style, vintage South Welsh machine politician, whose daughter, Janice Gregory, slipped into the seat as its Welsh Assembly representative in 1999, he was born in 1928 and educated at Pentre Grammar School in the Rhondda, and worked variously as a railway fireman, shop manager, water board officer and party agent to the seat's previous MP, before election here in 1979. Off-message since eviction from the Whips' office with a consoling knighthood in 1995, he resisted efforts to prise him out of his seat, opposed Welsh devolution, voted against student grant abolition, and lost no opportunity to vote against homosexual sex at 16.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 2.54% 14.99% 16.96
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.00% 2.49% 0.00
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 2.12% 4.43% 47.96
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 11.01% 7.27% 151.36
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.00% 2.56% 0.00
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.00% 3.94% 0.00
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 4.36% 13.04% 33.42
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 45.56% 12.70% 358.67
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 13.14% 8.14% 161.39
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.00% 4.02% 0.00
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 1.28% 3.19% 40.28
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 14.99% 11.31% 132.52
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.16% 3.06% 5.27
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 4.83% 2.52% 191.81
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 10.49% 9.41% 111.41
5-10K 20.47% 16.63% 123.07
10-15K 19.81% 16.58% 119.48
15-20K 15.09% 13.58% 111.12
20-25K 10.55% 10.39% 101.54
25-30K 7.16% 7.77% 92.16
30-35K 4.84% 5.79% 83.57
35-40K 3.29% 4.33% 75.93
40-45K 2.26% 3.27% 69.24
45-50K 1.57% 2.48% 63.42
50-55K 1.11% 1.90% 58.38
55-60K 0.80% 1.47% 54.00
60-65K 0.58% 1.15% 50.18
65-70K 0.42% 0.91% 46.84
70-75K 0.32% 0.72% 43.91
75-80K 0.24% 0.57% 41.32
80-85K 0.18% 0.46% 39.02
85-90K 0.14% 0.37% 36.98
90-95K 0.11% 0.31% 35.14
95-100K 0.08% 0.25% 33.50
100K + 0.35% 1.34% 26.36

Local Map of the constituency
Ogmore - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Ogmore - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (2.28%) Liberal Democrat (2.42%) Plaid Cymru (0.74%)
Conservative (-  5.34%)
Conservative (1.38%) Liberal Democrat (3.56%) Plaid Cymru (6.99%)
Labour (- 11.93%)
Con - 5.34%
Lab 2.28%
LD 2.42%
PC 0.74%
Con 1.38%
Lab - 11.93%
LD 3.56%
PC 6.99%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Raymond Powell
Labour hold
Con Conservative (11.15%) 3,383 11.15%
Lab Labour (62.05%) 18,833 62.05%
LD Liberal Democrat (12.78%) 3,878 12.78%
PC Plaid Cymru (14.03%) 4,259 14.03%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (48.02%) 14,574 48.02%
Turn Turnout (58.16%) 30,353 58.16%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Raymond Powell
Labour hold
C Richard Hill 3,383 11.15%
LD Ian Lewis 3,878 12.78%
L Raymond Powell 18,833 62.05%
PC Angela Pulman 4,259 14.03%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Ray Powell
Labour
Con Conservative (9.76%) 3,716 9.76%
Lab Labour (73.98%) 28,163 73.98%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.22%) 3,510 9.22%
PC Plaid Cymru (7.04%) 2,679 7.04%
Ref 0 0.00%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (64.22%) 24,447 64.22%
Turn Turnout (73.10%) 38,068 73.10%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Labour
Con Conservative (15.10%) 6,359 15.10%
Lab Labour (71.70%) 30,186 71.70%
LD Liberal Democrat (6.80%) 2,868 6.80%
PC Plaid Cymru (6.30%) 2,667 6.30%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (56.60%) 23,827 56.60%
Turn Turnout (78.92%) 42,080 78.92%

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