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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Orpington
Conservative hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Despite its renowned history as the site of probably the most famed of the Liberal Party's many dramatic byelection gains (in 1962), Orpington has never been regained after Eric Lubbock lost it in 1970, and having missed being one of the Liberal Democrats' 46 victories in 1997, their highest number since 1929, it still only ranks 12th on their (rather ambitious) list of further gains at the expense of the battered Tories next time. Even in the borough elections (usually a Liberal strongpoint, far from always reflected in General Elections) in Bromley in 1998 they only outpolled the Tories by the insignificant margin of 41.3 pc to 41.2pc.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
John Horam, a man-for-all-parties, was elected here for the Conservatives in 1992, having earlier been Labour, then SDP, MP for Gateshead West. After the election he will be the only survivor of the Gadarene rush of some 30 Labour MPs into the SDP in 1981, and the only one to engineer survival as a Tory. Owner of an economics consultancy, he was born 1939 and educated at Silcoates School, Wakefield and at St. Catherine's college, Cambridge. Dubbed "a dirty double rat" by Dennis Skinner, and by Simon Hoggart as making "the Vicar of Bray look like Bedgellert the Faithful Hound", in embracing Conservatism he opted for it in its most Thatcherite monetarist form. Short and chubby and balding with a birdlike tuft, he dislikes the above references to his political serial monogamy. The Liberal Democrats' Chris Maines is the would-be third-time-lucky candidate seeking to reincarnate Eric Lubbock nearly 40 years on. A management consultant, locally born in 1958 and educated at Ramsden Boys' School and Plymouth Polytechnic, he has a high local profile on Bromley Council.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 38.83% 14.99% 259.00
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.46% 2.49% 18.33
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 3.36% 4.43% 75.85
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 6.44% 7.27% 88.49
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 2.44% 2.56% 94.98
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 1.61% 2.04% 78.97
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.32% 3.94% 8.17
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 22.99% 13.04% 176.34
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 5.15% 12.70% 40.57
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 8.14% 8.14% 99.97
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.52% 4.02% 12.81
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 4.02% 3.19% 126.33
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 3.17% 11.31% 27.99
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 1.82% 3.06% 59.56
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.69% 2.52% 27.33
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.02% 2.10% 0.81
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.03% 0.06% 42.29
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 5.61% 9.41% 59.57
5-10K 10.51% 16.63% 63.21
10-15K 12.26% 16.58% 73.94
15-20K 11.78% 13.58% 86.76
20-25K 10.40% 10.39% 100.05
25-30K 8.79% 7.77% 113.03
30-35K 7.26% 5.79% 125.32
35-40K 5.92% 4.33% 136.73
40-45K 4.81% 3.27% 147.21
45-50K 3.89% 2.48% 156.74
50-55K 3.15% 1.90% 165.38
55-60K 2.55% 1.47% 173.18
60-65K 2.07% 1.15% 180.21
65-70K 1.69% 0.91% 186.53
70-75K 1.38% 0.72% 192.22
75-80K 1.13% 0.57% 197.33
80-85K 0.93% 0.46% 201.92
85-90K 0.77% 0.37% 206.04
90-95K 0.64% 0.31% 209.75
95-100K 0.53% 0.25% 213.07
100K + 3.03% 1.34% 225.60

Local Map of the constituency
Orpington - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Orpington - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (3.07%) Liberal Democrat (7.38%)
Conservative (- 14.71%)
Conservative (3.28%) Liberal Democrat (7.66%)
Labour (-  7.04%)
Con - 14.71%
Lab 3.07%
LD 7.38%
Con 3.28%
Lab - 7.04%
LD 7.66%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
John Horam
Conservative hold
Con Conservative (43.87%) 22,334 43.87%
Lab Labour (10.84%) 5,517 10.84%
LD Liberal Democrat (43.34%) 22,065 43.34%
Oth Other (1.96%) 996 1.96%
Maj Majority (0.53%) 269 0.53%
Turn Turnout (68.41%) 50,912 68.41%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
John Horam
Conservative hold
C John Horam 22,334 43.87%
LD Chris Maines 22,065 43.34%
L Chris Purnell 5,517 10.84%
UK John Youles 996 1.96%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
John Horam
Conservative
Con Conservative (40.59%) 24,417 40.59%
Lab Labour (17.87%) 10,753 17.87%
LD Liberal Democrat (35.68%) 21,465 35.68%
Ref Referendum (3.85%) 2,316 3.85%
Oth Other (2.01%) 1,211 2.01%
Maj Majority (4.91%) 2,952 4.91%
Turn Turnout (76.40%) 60,162 76.40%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (55.30%) 36,770 55.30%
Lab Labour (14.80%) 9,837 14.80%
LD Liberal Democrat (28.30%) 18,840 28.30%
Oth Other (1.60%) 1,085 1.60%
Maj Majority (26.90%) 17,930 26.90%
Turn Turnout (81.10%) 66,532 81.10%

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