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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Swindon South
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Swindon was the recipient of an extra seat in the 1995 parliamentary boundary changes which came into force in time for the 1997 General Election, and such is the population growth in this rapidly developing part of England that Wiltshire is already earmarked for another extra seat in the next boundary review, which may come into force after the Election after next. Outcomes are always unpredictable in such circumstances, and it is not always easy to produce notional results for heavily altered or new seats, as the team which suggested that Swindon South would have had a Conservative majority of over 10,000 and 18pc in 1992. In any case, Julia Drown actually won for Labour in 1997 by 11pc, and we do know that this will require a swing back to the Tories sufficiently large that if repeated nationally about 65 other Labour seats would fall, reducing the overall majority to under 50 - under 40 if other parties also benefited from an anti-Labour movement of opinion. This would be an unexpected blow for Tony Blair, and provide a boost sufficient to keep William Hague in his job. For all these reasons, Swindon South will be a very important seat at the next general election.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Julia Drown was elected here in 1997, having previously worked as a public service accountant, most recently with the Radcliffe Infirmary in Oxford. London-born in 1962, she attended Hampstead Comprehensive and University College Oxford, as a health service campaigner she loyally defends government initiatives such as prescription charge increases below the rate of inflation and with scores of Labour MPs makes up for any radical deficit by vigorously opposing fox hunting as barbaric as the outlawed practices of bear-bating, cock-fighting and dog-fighting.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 11.32% 14.99% 75.53
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.65% 2.49% 26.17
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 19.20% 4.43% 433.96
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 7.70% 7.27% 105.89
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 3.84% 2.56% 149.71
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.80% 3.94% 20.26
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 10.35% 13.04% 79.35
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 16.47% 12.70% 129.68
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 2.41% 8.14% 29.64
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 5.50% 4.02% 136.64
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.66% 3.19% 83.58
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 17.61% 11.31% 155.72
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 1.35% 3.06% 44.24
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.00% 2.52% 0.00
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.12% 0.06% 196.03
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 6.48% 9.41% 68.84
5-10K 14.05% 16.63% 84.46
10-15K 15.72% 16.58% 94.84
15-20K 13.90% 13.58% 102.30
20-25K 11.21% 10.39% 107.90
25-30K 8.72% 7.77% 112.16
30-35K 6.68% 5.79% 115.39
35-40K 5.10% 4.33% 117.78
40-45K 3.90% 3.27% 119.49
45-50K 2.99% 2.48% 120.61
50-55K 2.31% 1.90% 121.27
55-60K 1.79% 1.47% 121.52
60-65K 1.40% 1.15% 121.45
65-70K 1.10% 0.91% 121.11
70-75K 0.87% 0.72% 120.55
75-80K 0.69% 0.57% 119.82
80-85K 0.55% 0.46% 118.94
85-90K 0.44% 0.37% 117.94
90-95K 0.36% 0.31% 116.86
95-100K 0.29% 0.25% 115.71
100K + 1.43% 1.34% 106.72

Local Map of the constituency
Swindon South - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Swindon South - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (16.00%)
Conservative (- 13.14%) Liberal Democrat (-  4.29%)
Labour (4.51%)
Conservative (-  1.38%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.50%)
Con - 13.14%
Lab 16.00%
LD - 4.29%
Con - 1.38%
Lab 4.51%
LD - 2.50%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Julia Drown
Labour hold
Con Conservative (34.39%) 14,919 34.39%
Lab Labour (51.31%) 22,260 51.31%
LD Liberal Democrat (11.91%) 5,165 11.91%
Oth Other (2.40%) 1,040 2.40%
Maj Majority (16.92%) 7,341 16.92%
Turn Turnout (61.04%) 43,384 61.04%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Julia Drown
Labour hold
LD Geoff Brewer 5,165 11.91%
C Simon Coombs 14,919 34.39%
L Julia Drown 22,260 51.31%
RRL Roly Gillard 327 0.75%
UK Vicki Sharp 713 1.64%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Julia Drown
Labour gain
Con Conservative (35.76%) 18,298 35.76%
Lab Labour (46.80%) 23,943 46.80%
LD Liberal Democrat (14.41%) 7,371 14.41%
Ref Referendum (2.49%) 1,273 2.49%
Oth Other (0.54%) 277 0.54%
Maj Majority (11.03%) 5,645 11.03%
Turn Turnout (72.87%) 51,162 72.87%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (48.90%) 27,312 48.90%
Lab Labour (30.80%) 17,209 30.80%
LD Liberal Democrat (18.70%) 10,439 18.70%
Oth Other (1.50%) 842 1.50%
Maj Majority (18.10%) 10,103 18.10%
Turn Turnout (81.82%) 55,802 81.82%

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