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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Thanet South
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
There were eight Labour gains in Kent at the 1997 General Election, and this is one of the four which comprise the more vulnerable quartet. This was a high-profile gain. The defeated Conservative MP was Jonathan Aitken, who has subsequently served time in prison after the failure of his libel case against the Guardian, who had targeted him with allegations of sleazy behaviour in Paris and elsewhere. Nor, while like so many south coast seaside areas this territory around Ramsgate has seen signs of social and economic difficulties recently, is the Isle of Thanet anything but traditionally Tory. The Aitken factor probably did not play at the last election, as the swing (even taking into account Liberal Democrat tactical voting for Labour) was only one per cent less than in neighbouring Thanet North. However, the long-term movement to Labour may make Stephen Ladyman's chance of holding the seat better than might at first sight appear. In the May 1999 local elections Labour held 17 of the 24 council seats within the Thanet District part of the seat, and although they won none of the eight in the Dover District section that accounts for only just over 10,000 electors. The Euro-elections of June 1999 showed the Tories' 16th best result in a Labour-held seat, but as it is one of the very closest to Europe a strongly anti-EU strand of opinion might be expected (that it a matter of empirical observation, not a contribution to the heated Euro-debate). With the European issue taking a back seat in the2001 General Election at least, the Conservatives' chances of a regain here are no more than 50-50.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Dr Stephen Ladyman was elected as the 20th least expected Labour MP in 1997 in an area never previously lost by the Conservatives. A computer manager formerly with the locally-based Pfizer drugs company, he was born 1952 and Catholic-educated at Our Lady of Walsingham School, Liverpool, Birkenhead Institute, Liverpool Polytechnic and Strathclyde University, where he obtained a doctorate in physics. He backs the EU for its regional funding for the declining seaside towns, and gave up his lucrative Pfizer share options on becoming an MP, claiming he'd rather be that than a millionaire. The Conservatives hope to regain this seat with Mark Macgregor, company director, born 1961, educated at Emanuel School, Wandsworth and Heriot Watt University, a former President of the hard rightwing Federation of Conservative Students, who fought Tony Banks at West Ham in 1997.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 10.20% 14.99% 68.02
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 2.46% 2.13% 115.58
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 13.75% 2.49% 553.07
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 1.00% 4.43% 22.67
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 2.35% 7.27% 32.37
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.19% 2.56% 7.30
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.00% 2.04% 0.00
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 5.45% 3.94% 138.28
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 19.57% 13.04% 150.11
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 11.76% 12.70% 92.60
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 14.71% 8.14% 180.65
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 7.68% 4.02% 191.08
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.80% 3.19% 87.78
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 5.10% 11.31% 45.10
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 1.63% 3.06% 53.37
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 1.31% 2.52% 52.16
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.02% 0.06% 31.39
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 11.68% 9.41% 124.12
5-10K 19.67% 16.63% 118.24
10-15K 18.40% 16.58% 110.97
15-20K 14.13% 13.58% 104.02
20-25K 10.15% 10.39% 97.69
25-30K 7.15% 7.77% 91.97
30-35K 5.03% 5.79% 86.81
35-40K 3.56% 4.33% 82.15
40-45K 2.54% 3.27% 77.94
45-50K 1.84% 2.48% 74.13
50-55K 1.35% 1.90% 70.67
55-60K 1.00% 1.47% 67.51
60-65K 0.74% 1.15% 64.63
65-70K 0.56% 0.91% 61.99
70-75K 0.43% 0.72% 59.57
75-80K 0.33% 0.57% 57.33
80-85K 0.26% 0.46% 55.27
85-90K 0.20% 0.37% 53.35
90-95K 0.16% 0.31% 51.57
95-100K 0.12% 0.25% 49.91
100K + 0.56% 1.34% 41.62

Local Map of the constituency
Thanet South - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Thanet South - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (18.08%)
Conservative (- 11.91%) Liberal Democrat (-  6.60%)
Conservative (1.32%)
Labour (-  0.53%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.30%)
Con - 11.91%
Lab 18.08%
LD - 6.60%
Con 1.32%
Lab - 0.53%
LD - 2.30%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Stephen Ladyman
Labour hold
Con Conservative (41.11%) 16,210 41.11%
Lab Labour (45.65%) 18,002 45.65%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.40%) 3,706 9.40%
Oth Other (3.84%) 1,513 3.84%
Maj Majority (4.54%) 1,792 4.54%
Turn Turnout (64.16%) 39,431 64.16%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Stephen Ladyman
Labour hold
I William Baldwin 770 1.95%
UK Terry Eccott 501 1.27%
NF Bernard Franklin 242 0.61%
L Stephen Ladyman 18,002 45.65%
C Mark Macgregor 16,210 41.11%
LD Guy Voizey 3,706 9.40%
Candidates representing 6 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Stephen Ladyman
Labour gain
Con Conservative (39.79%) 17,899 39.79%
Lab Labour (46.18%) 20,777 46.18%
LD Liberal Democrat (11.70%) 5,263 11.70%
Ref 0 0.00%
Oth Other (2.33%) 1,049 2.33%
Maj Majority (6.40%) 2,878 6.40%
Turn Turnout (71.65%) 44,988 71.65%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (51.70%) 25,222 51.70%
Lab Labour (28.10%) 13,723 28.10%
LD Liberal Democrat (18.30%) 8,936 18.30%
Oth Other (1.80%) 870 1.80%
Maj Majority (23.60%) 11,499 23.60%
Turn Turnout (77.00%) 48,751 77.00%

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