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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Upminster
Conservative gain

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
One of three seats in the outer east London (some would say effectively Essex) Borough of Havering that the Tories are desperate to recover, Upminster has always been regarded as in the middle politically between Romford (best for the Conservatives) and Hornchurch (worst). So it was in 1997 and again in the 1999 Euro-elections (the borough council contests are distorted by the most successful Residents candidates anywhere in Greater London). Let's put it this way. If Angela Watkinson does not beat Keith Darvill in 2001 Labour are likely to enjoy an overall majority of at least 110, which would be their third best result ever, and two wins in succession with a three-figure predominance. There would be much moaning, gnashing of teeth, and sharpening of knives in the Conservative hierarchy.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Keith Darvill, Labour's unexpected winner here in 1997, is a self-made solicitor from an East End secondary modern and technical college background, who attended Central London Polytechnic and Chester Law College. Orthodox and inconspicuous, he tabled three written questions in his first year in the Commons. His Conservative opponent is Angela Watkinson, coming very late to the fray at the age of 59. A former bank clerk, special school secretary and local government officer, she was born in Leytonstone in 1941 and attended Wanstead County High School. With political experience limited to serving on (local) Havering and Essex County Councils, she cuts an ordinary dash compared to the young venture capitalists and accountants among Tory candidates, but she is the fourth most likely new female Conservative MP and would serve as a sexagenarian replacement for Teresa Gorman.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 23.53% 14.99% 156.92
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.88% 2.49% 35.27
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 0.00% 4.43% 0.00
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 0.98% 7.27% 13.49
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 2.38% 2.56% 92.87
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.79% 2.04% 38.52
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.19% 3.94% 4.91
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 27.63% 13.04% 211.94
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 7.41% 12.70% 58.37
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 14.77% 8.14% 181.38
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.03% 4.02% 0.81
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 5.28% 3.19% 165.69
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 11.75% 11.31% 103.84
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 2.86% 3.06% 93.56
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 1.51% 2.52% 60.02
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 7.73% 9.41% 82.15
5-10K 13.36% 16.63% 80.31
10-15K 14.15% 16.58% 85.34
15-20K 12.54% 13.58% 92.33
20-25K 10.37% 10.39% 99.81
25-30K 8.33% 7.77% 107.16
30-35K 6.61% 5.79% 114.12
35-40K 5.22% 4.33% 120.55
40-45K 4.13% 3.27% 126.43
45-50K 3.27% 2.48% 131.74
50-55K 2.60% 1.90% 136.51
55-60K 2.08% 1.47% 140.78
60-65K 1.66% 1.15% 144.58
65-70K 1.34% 0.91% 147.96
70-75K 1.09% 0.72% 150.95
75-80K 0.88% 0.57% 153.59
80-85K 0.72% 0.46% 155.92
85-90K 0.59% 0.37% 157.96
90-95K 0.49% 0.31% 159.75
95-100K 0.40% 0.25% 161.32
100K + 2.23% 1.34% 165.83

Local Map of the constituency
Upminster - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Upminster - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (16.09%)
Conservative (- 14.71%) Liberal Democrat (-  6.22%)
Conservative (6.04%)
Labour (-  4.33%) Liberal Democrat (-  0.08%)
Con - 14.71%
Lab 16.09%
LD - 6.22%
Con 6.04%
Lab - 4.33%
LD - 0.08%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Angela Watkinson
Conservative gain
Con Conservative (45.52%) 15,410 45.52%
Lab Labour (41.86%) 14,169 41.86%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.40%) 3,183 9.40%
Oth Other (3.22%) 1,089 3.22%
Maj Majority (3.67%) 1,241 3.67%
Turn Turnout (59.57%) 33,851 59.57%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Angela Watkinson
Conservative gain
L Keith Darvill 14,169 41.86%
UK Terry Murray 1,089 3.22%
LD Peter Truesdale 3,183 9.40%
C Angela Watkinson 15,410 45.52%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Keith Darvil
Labour gain
Con Conservative (39.49%) 16,315 39.49%
Lab Labour (46.19%) 19,085 46.19%
LD Liberal Democrat (9.48%) 3,919 9.48%
Ref Referendum (4.84%) 2,000 4.84%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (6.70%) 2,770 6.70%
Turn Turnout (72.30%) 41,319 72.30%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (54.20%) 25,121 54.20%
Lab Labour (30.10%) 13,964 30.10%
LD Liberal Democrat (15.70%) 7,300 15.70%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (24.10%) 11,157 24.10%
Turn Turnout (79.22%) 46,385 79.22%

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