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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Walthamstow
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Walthamstow has had a colourful political history. Including Clement Attlee's seat at the end of his parliamentary career, and the site of not one but two spectacular Labour by-election defeats during Harold Wilson's 1966-70 term of office, it was also lost as a unified seat in 1987. Yet this is a working class seat in the east end, not that far out towards the edge of London, with a 30pc non-white population, above even the capital's average, with little signs of fashionability or gentrification. The situation seems to be that Walthamstow is in fact true to Labour for most of the time, except in aberrant circumstances like by-elections or very unpopular periods in the party's past, and that new Labour looks organised enough to avoid these pitfalls. After all, Neil Gerrard won by 17,000 after an 18pc swing in 1997, one of the largest in the country. There is no sign that this will be reversed.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Neil Gerrard was elected in 1992, fresh from being leader of Waltham Forest Council, where huge rate rises had delivered the Walthamstow seat to the Conservatives against the trend in 1987. Though he defied the Labour whip 26 times during the 1992 Parliament and resigned as Dawn Primarolo's PPS in order to abstain over lone parent benefit cuts, his record of revolt against the Blair government is, for a Campaign Grouper, relatively slight. His hostile voting has been confined to the threatened use of force against Iraq, pensions linked to earnings, incapacity benefit cuts and jury trial curbs. Of gnarled, coarse-featured visage, he was born 1942, educated at Manchester Grammar School and Wadham College, Oxford, and previously worked as a schoolteacher, then FE lecturer in computing.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 0.00% 14.99% 0.00
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.35% 2.49% 14.04
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 0.06% 4.43% 1.31
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 0.00% 7.27% 0.00
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 6.63% 2.56% 258.44
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 4.08% 2.04% 200.10
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 6.80% 3.94% 172.35
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 1.68% 13.04% 12.88
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 6.91% 12.70% 54.39
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 0.30% 8.14% 3.65
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 50.27% 4.02% 1,250.02
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 0.34% 3.19% 10.64
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 5.66% 11.31% 50.02
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 9.97% 3.06% 325.68
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.83% 2.52% 32.78
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 6.13% 2.10% 291.97
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 7.11% 9.41% 75.52
5-10K 13.48% 16.63% 81.03
10-15K 15.00% 16.58% 90.50
15-20K 13.51% 13.58% 99.48
20-25K 11.12% 10.39% 106.99
25-30K 8.78% 7.77% 112.91
30-35K 6.80% 5.79% 117.40
35-40K 5.23% 4.33% 120.70
40-45K 4.02% 3.27% 123.02
45-50K 3.09% 2.48% 124.58
50-55K 2.39% 1.90% 125.54
55-60K 1.86% 1.47% 126.04
60-65K 1.45% 1.15% 126.17
65-70K 1.14% 0.91% 126.03
70-75K 0.90% 0.72% 125.68
75-80K 0.72% 0.57% 125.18
80-85K 0.58% 0.46% 124.55
85-90K 0.46% 0.37% 123.84
90-95K 0.38% 0.31% 123.07
95-100K 0.31% 0.25% 122.26
100K + 1.56% 1.34% 116.26

Local Map of the constituency
Walthamstow - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Walthamstow - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (18.83%)
Conservative (- 16.88%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.09%)
Liberal Democrat (0.88%)
Conservative (-  2.25%) Labour (-  0.97%)
Con - 16.88%
Lab 18.83%
LD - 2.09%
Con - 2.25%
Lab - 0.97%
LD 0.88%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Neil Gerrard
Labour hold
Con Conservative (18.07%) 6,221 18.07%
Lab Labour (62.16%) 21,402 62.16%
LD Liberal Democrat (14.59%) 5,024 14.59%
Oth Other (5.18%) 1,782 5.18%
Maj Majority (44.09%) 15,181 44.09%
Turn Turnout (53.46%) 34,429 53.46%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Neil Gerrard
Labour hold
C Nick Boys Smith 6,221 18.07%
S Alt Simon Donovan 806 2.34%
P Barbara Duffy 289 0.84%
LD Peter Dunphy 5,024 14.59%
L Neil Gerrard 21,402 62.16%
UK Gerda Mayer 298 0.87%
BNP William Phillips 389 1.13%
Candidates representing 7 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Neil Gerrard
Labour
Con Conservative (20.32%) 8,138 20.32%
Lab Labour (63.13%) 25,287 63.13%
LD Liberal Democrat (13.71%) 5,491 13.71%
Ref Referendum (2.84%) 1,139 2.84%
Oth 0 0.00%
Maj Majority (42.81%) 17,149 42.81%
Turn Turnout (62.76%) 40,055 62.76%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Labour
Con Conservative (37.20%) 17,650 37.20%
Lab Labour (44.30%) 21,001 44.30%
LD Liberal Democrat (15.80%) 7,489 15.80%
Oth Other (2.70%) 1,285 2.70%
Maj Majority (7.10%) 3,351 7.10%
Turn Turnout (71.41%) 47,425 71.41%

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