telegraph.co.uk | sport.telegraph.co.uk | travel.telegraph.co.uk | money.telegraph.co.uk
election2001
Constituency A-Z
Map A-Z
MPs A-Z
Swingometer
Paxman game
Issues
Analysis
Win 1,000,000
Telegraph home
UK News
International news
City news
Opinions
DT letters
Telegraph feedback
Sport
Site index
About us
Contact us
Credits
Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Watford
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
The fabled gateway to the north of England (only people from the far south could see things that way) is a critical swing marginal. Claire Ward, who is not yet 30 years of age, became the youngest female MP in gaining the seat in 1997. Her lead was 10.5pc, just a little less than Labour's national advantage. If the Conservative Michael McManus wins at the next general election, it is likely that at least 60 other Labour seats will fall too, reducing Mr Blair's lead to a maximum of 60, which leaves him vulnerable to rebellions and to the gradual encroachment of by-election losses. This assumes no differential swing on regional grounds. However, there is evidence that the Labour vote is holding up better in the South East than in some other regions (West Midlands, North West, Yorkshire) and they did better than average in the 1999 Euro-elections and the 2000 local elections in Watford Borough (when voting was allowed at the weekend rather than just on Thursday as usual - this made no significant impact). Claire Ward is probably the narrow favourite - to win narrowly.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Bob Blizzard was elected in 1997 as a standard product of the Labour landslide: a 40-something schoolteacher and local councillor, in his case council leader. A burly, vigorous speaker, he was born in 1950, attended Culford School, Bury St. Edmunds, and Birmingham University and taught English for 25 years. An assiduous campaigner on local issues such as poor transport and fishing, he loyally defends government policy across a broad front, and deplores the damaging impact on English-brewed beer of bootlegging from the continent.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 15.23% 14.99% 101.55
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 1.69% 2.49% 68.02
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 1.79% 4.43% 40.39
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 12.81% 7.27% 176.05
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 6.37% 2.56% 248.33
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 2.19% 2.04% 107.42
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 1.94% 3.94% 49.17
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 15.54% 13.04% 119.21
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 17.10% 12.70% 134.59
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 9.43% 8.14% 115.81
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 5.15% 4.02% 128.16
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 1.23% 3.19% 38.72
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 7.17% 11.31% 63.38
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.97% 3.06% 31.54
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.67% 2.52% 26.53
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.73% 2.10% 34.73
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 5.08% 9.41% 53.92
5-10K 10.52% 16.63% 63.26
10-15K 12.74% 16.58% 76.86
15-20K 12.36% 13.58% 90.96
20-25K 10.84% 10.39% 104.32
25-30K 9.05% 7.77% 116.46
30-35K 7.37% 5.79% 127.24
35-40K 5.92% 4.33% 136.70
40-45K 4.73% 3.27% 144.93
45-50K 3.77% 2.48% 152.07
50-55K 3.01% 1.90% 158.24
55-60K 2.41% 1.47% 163.58
60-65K 1.94% 1.15% 168.19
65-70K 1.56% 0.91% 172.19
70-75K 1.26% 0.72% 175.65
75-80K 1.03% 0.57% 178.64
80-85K 0.84% 0.46% 181.24
85-90K 0.69% 0.37% 183.50
90-95K 0.57% 0.31% 185.45
95-100K 0.47% 0.25% 187.15
100K + 2.59% 1.34% 192.42

Local Map of the constituency
Watford - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Watford - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (11.29%)
Conservative (- 13.29%) Liberal Democrat (-  0.01%)
Liberal Democrat (0.66%)
Conservative (-  1.52%) Labour (-  0.03%)
Con - 13.29%
Lab 11.29%
LD - 0.01%
Con - 1.52%
Lab - 0.03%
LD 0.66%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Claire Ward
Labour hold
Con Conservative (33.29%) 15,437 33.29%
Lab Labour (45.27%) 20,992 45.27%
LD Liberal Democrat (17.44%) 8,088 17.44%
Oth Other (4.00%) 1,855 4.00%
Maj Majority (11.98%) 5,555 11.98%
Turn Turnout (61.24%) 46,372 61.24%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Claire Ward
Labour hold
SA Jon Berry 420 0.91%
LD Duncan Hames 8,088 17.44%
G Denise Kingsley 900 1.94%
C Michael McManus 15,437 33.29%
UK Edmund Stewart-Mole 535 1.15%
L Claire Ward 20,992 45.27%
Candidates representing 6 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Claire Ward
Labour gain
Con Conservative (34.81%) 19,227 34.81%
Lab Labour (45.29%) 25,019 45.29%
LD Liberal Democrat (16.79%) 9,272 16.79%
Ref Referendum (2.69%) 1,484 2.69%
Oth Other (0.42%) 234 0.42%
Maj Majority (10.49%) 5,792 10.49%
Turn Turnout (74.63%) 55,236 74.63%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (48.10%) 28,159 48.10%
Lab Labour (34.00%) 19,896 34.00%
LD Liberal Democrat (16.80%) 9,807 16.80%
Oth Other (1.10%) 673 1.10%
Maj Majority (14.10%) 8,263 14.10%
Turn Turnout (81.08%) 58,535 81.08%

Search for your constituency
Search by postcode
Search by MP
Complete list of MPs
Search by constituency
Complete list of constituencies
Search by map go
Previous Previous
Top Top