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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Welwyn Hatfield
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Recent local election evidence from the Welwyn Hatfield district suggests that the Conservatives have an outside chance of a regain in this Hertfordshire New Town constituency, but only in an unexpectedly good year for them (e.g. when they can draw level with Labour in the national vote share) and/or when Labour suffers from very low turnout in their heartland ex-local authority housing wards. There was one of the most bitter constituency battles in the land here in 1997, as the right wing and abrasive self-made Conservative businessman desperately struggled to hold on against New Labour in the form of Melanie Johnson, who has chosen not to marry her partner and father of her three children. Ms Johnson won by over 5,000 after an average swing. Her principal areas of support lay in the New Town neighbourhoods of Hatfield (south, central and west) and Welwyn Garden City (east of the railway tracks). Evans fought back in east Hatfield in the lee of the Victorian Titan Lord Salisbury's estate, in the western part of Welwyn Garden City, and in affluent commuting areas like Brookman's Park and villages like Essendon. This remains a crucial seat, one of those which will determine the outcome of the next general election and the identity of the next Government.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Melanie Johnson was elected in 1997 after selection from an all-women shortlist. A heroine, following the description of her by her Tory MP opponent David Evans as "a single girl, lives with her boyfriend, three bastard children, never done a proper job", she is currently Economic Secretary to the Treasury. As a loyalist back bencher she was heckled by some of her more left-wing sisters for defending university tuition fees. She was born 1955, attended Clifton High School for Girls, UCL and (inconclusively) King's College Cambridge, and worked for the Co-op before spending four years as a Schools Inspector. To Quentin Letts (late of The Telegraph) she is "as prim-lipped as a supermarket manageress".
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 21.76% 14.99% 145.13
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.01% 2.13% 0.26
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 1.45% 2.49% 58.17
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 4.76% 4.43% 107.67
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 4.36% 7.27% 59.93
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 3.95% 2.56% 154.01
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 1.05% 2.04% 51.25
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 1.57% 3.94% 39.81
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 10.27% 13.04% 78.76
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 10.23% 12.70% 80.54
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 14.56% 8.14% 178.79
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 0.47% 4.02% 11.77
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 6.54% 3.19% 205.29
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 17.43% 11.31% 154.06
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 1.19% 3.06% 38.78
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.25% 2.52% 9.97
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.16% 2.10% 7.48
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.01% 0.06% 10.64
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 6.95% 9.41% 73.78
5-10K 13.08% 16.63% 78.66
10-15K 14.40% 16.58% 86.85
15-20K 12.90% 13.58% 94.96
20-25K 10.65% 10.39% 102.46
25-30K 8.50% 7.77% 109.30
30-35K 6.69% 5.79% 115.50
35-40K 5.25% 4.33% 121.16
40-45K 4.12% 3.27% 126.32
45-50K 3.25% 2.48% 131.04
50-55K 2.58% 1.90% 135.38
55-60K 2.05% 1.47% 139.38
60-65K 1.65% 1.15% 143.07
65-70K 1.33% 0.91% 146.48
70-75K 1.08% 0.72% 149.65
75-80K 0.88% 0.57% 152.59
80-85K 0.72% 0.46% 155.33
85-90K 0.59% 0.37% 157.88
90-95K 0.49% 0.31% 160.27
95-100K 0.41% 0.25% 162.50
100K + 2.33% 1.34% 173.21

Local Map of the constituency
Welwyn Hatfield - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Welwyn Hatfield - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (11.08%)
Conservative (- 10.99%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.48%)
Conservative (3.86%) Liberal Democrat (0.54%)
Labour (-  3.91%)
Con - 10.99%
Lab 11.08%
LD - 2.48%
Con 3.86%
Lab - 3.91%
LD 0.54%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Melanie Johnson
Labour hold
Con Conservative (40.37%) 17,288 40.37%
Lab Labour (43.17%) 18,484 43.17%
LD Liberal Democrat (14.06%) 6,021 14.06%
Oth Other (2.40%) 1,028 2.40%
Maj Majority (2.79%) 1,196 2.79%
Turn Turnout (63.91%) 42,821 63.91%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Melanie Johnson
Labour hold
UK Malcolm Biggs 798 1.86%
LD Daniel Cooke 6,021 14.06%
L Melanie Johnson 18,484 43.17%
P Fiona Pinto 230 0.54%
C Grant Shapps 17,288 40.37%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Melanie Johnson
Labour gain
Con Conservative (36.51%) 19,341 36.51%
Lab Labour (47.08%) 24,936 47.08%
LD Liberal Democrat (13.52%) 7,161 13.52%
Ref 0 0.00%
Oth Other (2.89%) 1,530 2.89%
Maj Majority (10.56%) 5,595 10.56%
Turn Turnout (78.59%) 52,968 78.59%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (47.50%) 27,139 47.50%
Lab Labour (36.00%) 20,556 36.00%
LD Liberal Democrat (16.00%) 9,147 16.00%
Oth Other (0.40%) 247 0.40%
Maj Majority (11.50%) 6,583 11.50%
Turn Turnout (83.34%) 57,089 83.34%

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