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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Winchester
Liberal Democrat hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
In 1997 there were two parliamentary elections in the Winchester constituency, and the Liberal Democrat Mark Oaten won both, once by 2 votes and once by 21,556. This extraordinary story was occasioned by a challenge which resulted in a court case which decided that 55 ballot papers had been wrongly excluded due to a lack of franking by electoral officers, and thus a re-run was ordered for November 1997; but this did the Tories and their defeated May candidate Gerry Malone no good at all, as Oaten was overwhelmingly confirmed, with the help of massive tactical voting by the Labour contingent. Although the Conservatives were ahead in this seat in both the 1999 Euro-elections and the 2000 Winchester City elections, after such an endorsement as that of autumn 1997 it is hard to see him as a defeated contestant, at least not in the next parliamentary election that comes along here.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
Mark Oaten, PPS to Charles Kennedy, is defending either the most marginal seat in Britain or one of the safest, according to taste. Of the generation (born 1964) to be impressed by the new Social Democratic Party in 1983, he duly joined up and was an SDP councillor in Watford before you could say "Gadarene rush" in 1986 - eventually leading the Liberal Democrat group. Secondary-modern-school-educated, and at Hatfield Polytechnic, his experience as a PR man equips him for the task of holding a safe Tory seat as a Liberal Democrat. Hence his votes against hunting bans and support for important local army interests on Japanese compensation for POWs, and making good deductions of pay of ex-POWs in German and Italian camps. Tall and street-wise looking, he also naturally sought legislation to stop candidates calling themselves 'Literal Democrats' in order to stop bona fide Liberal Democrats like him from winning. Conservative hopes here rest with Andrew Hayes, born 1963, educated at Hampton School and Edinburgh University and with a background in financial PR. He is a campaigner for the Business for Sterling, the anti-euro group, and wanted a referendum on the Maastricht Treaty.
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 41.91% 14.99% 279.52
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 2.71% 2.13% 127.51
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 5.28% 2.49% 212.54
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 11.81% 4.43% 266.99
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 1.88% 7.27% 25.81
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 2.52% 2.56% 98.40
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 2.14% 2.04% 104.99
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.85% 3.94% 21.48
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 10.59% 13.04% 81.23
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 1.59% 12.70% 12.51
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 10.49% 8.14% 128.76
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 3.36% 4.02% 83.50
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.35% 3.19% 73.91
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 1.70% 11.31% 15.04
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.60% 3.06% 19.48
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 0.00% 2.52% 0.00
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.21% 0.06% 341.98
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 7.00% 9.41% 74.40
5-10K 12.35% 16.63% 74.24
10-15K 13.50% 16.58% 81.43
15-20K 12.29% 13.58% 90.46
20-25K 10.37% 10.39% 99.79
25-30K 8.46% 7.77% 108.83
30-35K 6.80% 5.79% 117.34
35-40K 5.43% 4.33% 125.24
40-45K 4.33% 3.27% 132.53
45-50K 3.46% 2.48% 139.24
50-55K 2.77% 1.90% 145.42
55-60K 2.23% 1.47% 151.12
60-65K 1.80% 1.15% 156.41
65-70K 1.46% 0.91% 161.31
70-75K 1.19% 0.72% 165.88
75-80K 0.98% 0.57% 170.16
80-85K 0.81% 0.46% 174.17
85-90K 0.67% 0.37% 177.95
90-95K 0.55% 0.31% 181.53
95-100K 0.46% 0.25% 184.91
100K + 2.74% 1.34% 203.79

Local Map of the constituency
Winchester - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Winchester - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (3.02%) Liberal Democrat (5.16%)
Conservative (-  9.64%)
Liberal Democrat (12.51%)
Conservative (-  3.77%) Labour (-  4.61%)
Con - 9.64%
Lab 3.02%
LD 5.16%
Con - 3.77%
Lab - 4.61%
LD 12.51%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Mark Oaten
Liberal Democrat hold
Con Conservative (38.28%) 22,648 38.28%
Lab Labour (5.91%) 3,498 5.91%
LD Liberal Democrat (54.57%) 32,282 54.57%
Oth Other (1.23%) 730 1.23%
Maj Majority (16.29%) 9,634 16.29%
Turn Turnout (72.27%) 59,158 72.27%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Mark Oaten
Liberal Democrat hold
C Andrew Hayes 22,648 38.28%
UK Joan Martin 664 1.12%
LD Mark Oaten 32,282 54.57%
WR Henrietta Rouse 66 0.11%
L Stephen Wyeth 3,498 5.91%
Candidates representing 5 parties stood for election to this seat.
Byelection Results
By Election (20 November 1997)
Election of Mark Oaten declared void on petition on 6 October 1997
Mark Oaten
Liberal Democrat
Con Conservative (28.41%) 15,450 28.41%
Lab Labour (1.74%) 944 1.74%
LD Liberal Democrat (68.05%) 37,006 68.05%
Oth Other (1.81%) 984 1.81%
Maj Majority (39.64%) 21,556 39.64%
Turn Turnout (68.74%) 54,384 68.74%
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Mark Oaten
Liberal Democrat gain
Con Conservative (42.06%) 26,098 42.06%
Lab Labour (10.52%) 6,528 10.52%
LD Liberal Democrat (42.06%) 26,100 42.06%
Ref Referendum (2.58%) 1,598 2.58%
Oth Other (2.79%) 1,730 2.79%
Maj Majority (0.00%) 2 0.00%
Turn Turnout (78.66%) 62,054 78.66%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (51.70%) 32,604 51.70%
Lab Labour (7.50%) 4,734 7.50%
LD Liberal Democrat (36.90%) 23,286 36.90%
Oth Other (3.90%) 2,468 3.90%
Maj Majority (14.80%) 9,318 14.80%
Turn Turnout (83.98%) 63,092 83.98%

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