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election2001
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Readers Poll Con 52% Lab 28% LD 18% Nat 2% Enter your vote to win 1M

Bolton West
Labour hold

Constituency Profile by Robert Waller
Bolton West is the Conservatives' best chance of a victory in the Pennine borough, and they polled more votes than Labour in the May 2000 local elections (when they did very well in Bolton Borough as a whole), but they still need a swing of over 7pc from the last General Election to remove Labour's young star Ruth Kelly, and in the process, Tony Blair's overall majority. The seat includes some of Bolton's best older residential areas in Deane cum Heaton and Smithills wards, and a considerable element from outside the ancient boundaries of Bolton in Hulton Park, Westhoughton, Horwich, and Blackrod. None of these elected Labour councillors in 2000, although most did in 1996. A lot will depend on whether Liberal Democrats are prepared to vote tactically to keep the Tory out in 2001, as they clearly did to get the Tory government out in 1997. This will be one of the most interesting constituencies anywhere in the country to watch.

Personality Profile by Byron Criddle
With an attractive, somewhat androgynous look, a low-registered voice and the elitist pedigree of Westminster School, Queen's College Oxford and LSE, Ruth Kelly, a Bank of England economist and former Guardian financial journalist, was supposed to be one of the highfliers of Labour's 1997 intake. Instead she has settled, as a good Catholic, for motherhood (twice) and the small job of PPS to Nick Brown. She will have to hope she has not squandered her much-predicted ministerial opportunities as she squares up to Conservative candidate Winston Stevens, the former Tory party agent in Bolton West, with 14 years experience of election campaigning here and elsewhere. His selection is a sign of a serious Tory pitch to regain this seat.

Internet Links for this constituency
ACORN Population Profile of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
Thriving
Wealthy Achievers, Suburban Areas 19.26% 14.99% 128.47
Affluent Greys, Rural Communities 0.00% 2.13% 0.00
Prosperous Pensioners, Retirement Areas 0.34% 2.49% 13.73
Expanding
Affluent Executives, Family Areas 9.85% 4.43% 222.66
Well-Off Workers, Family Areas 14.39% 7.27% 197.88
Rising
Affluent Urbanites, Town & City Areas 0.00% 2.56% 0.00
Prosperous Professionals, Metropolitan Areas 0.05% 2.04% 2.47
Better-Off Executives, Inner City Areas 0.00% 3.94% 0.00
Settling
Comfortable Middle Agers, Mature Home Owning Areas 14.54% 13.04% 111.52
Skilled Workers, Home Owning Areas 17.86% 12.70% 140.63
Aspiring
New Home Owners, Mature Communities 7.46% 8.14% 91.66
White Collar Workers, Better-Off Multi Ethnic Areas 1.56% 4.02% 38.67
Striving
Older People, Less Prosperous Areas 2.43% 3.19% 76.24
Council Estate Residents, Better-Off Homes 8.96% 11.31% 79.20
Council Estate Residents, High Unemployment 0.79% 3.06% 25.77
Council Estate Residents, Greatest Hardship 2.50% 2.52% 99.23
People in Multi-Ethnic, Low-Income Areas 0.00% 2.10% 0.00
Unclassified
Unclassified 0.00% 0.06% 0.00
Household Income of the constituency
  Area
Percent
GB
Percent
Index
GB=100
 
0-5K 7.71% 9.41% 81.91
5-10K 14.29% 16.63% 85.89
10-15K 15.32% 16.58% 92.41
15-20K 13.40% 13.58% 98.65
20-25K 10.82% 10.39% 104.08
25-30K 8.45% 7.77% 108.64
30-35K 6.51% 5.79% 112.39
35-40K 5.00% 4.33% 115.43
40-45K 3.85% 3.27% 117.85
45-50K 2.97% 2.48% 119.75
50-55K 2.31% 1.90% 121.20
55-60K 1.80% 1.47% 122.28
60-65K 1.42% 1.15% 123.05
65-70K 1.12% 0.91% 123.55
70-75K 0.89% 0.72% 123.84
75-80K 0.71% 0.57% 123.94
80-85K 0.57% 0.46% 123.88
85-90K 0.46% 0.37% 123.69
90-95K 0.38% 0.31% 123.40
95-100K 0.31% 0.25% 123.01
100K + 1.59% 1.34% 118.07

Local Map of the constituency
Bolton West - Local Map of the constituency

National Map of the constituency
Bolton West - National Map of the constituency

Swing
1992-1997 1997-2001
Labour (10.42%)
Conservative (- 12.17%) Liberal Democrat (-  2.40%)
Liberal Democrat (7.58%)
Conservative (-  1.49%) Labour (-  2.49%)
Con - 12.17%
Lab 10.42%
LD - 2.40%
Con - 1.49%
Lab - 2.49%
LD 7.58%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Ruth Kelly
Labour hold
Con Conservative (33.64%) 13,863 33.64%
Lab Labour (47.03%) 19,381 47.03%
LD Liberal Democrat (18.37%) 7,573 18.37%
Oth Other (0.96%) 397 0.96%
Maj Majority (13.39%) 5,518 13.39%
Turn Turnout (62.41%) 41,214 62.41%
2001 Results - General Election (7 June 2001)
Ruth Kelly
Labour hold
L Ruth Kelly 19,381 47.03%
LD Barbara Ronson 7,573 18.37%
C James Stevens 13,863 33.64%
SA David Toomer 397 0.96%
Candidates representing 4 parties stood for election to this seat.
1997 Results - General Election (1 May 1997)
Ruth Kelly
Labour gain
Con Conservative (35.13%) 17,270 35.13%
Lab Labour (49.52%) 24,342 49.52%
LD Liberal Democrat (10.80%) 5,309 10.80%
Ref Referendum (1.76%) 865 1.76%
Oth Other (2.79%) 1,374 2.79%
Maj Majority (14.39%) 7,072 14.39%
Turn Turnout (77.37%) 49,160 77.37%
1992 Results -  General Election (9 April 1992)
Conservative
Con Conservative (47.30%) 24,619 47.30%
Lab Labour (39.10%) 20,338 39.10%
LD Liberal Democrat (13.20%) 6,862 13.20%
Oth Other (0.40%) 208 0.40%
Maj Majority (8.20%) 4,281 8.20%
Turn Turnout (82.49%) 52,027 82.49%

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